The rookie draft is the cheapest way to acquire elite talent there can ever be in dynasty leagues. As a rule of thumb, however, it is important to understand what reasonable expectations are for these picks before making them. Outside of a few players at the RB position year over year, most rookies struggle to adapt to the league initially, and require several seasons to provide an adequate return on the invested pick selection. Because of this, being able to identify picks that will hold their value or build upon it in a short period of time is the key to becoming a smarter rookie drafter. Let’s check in on this year’s dynasty rookie rankings and see which players you should be focused on.
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2019 Dynasty Rookie Rankings
Year One Performers (1-3)
Josh Jacobs, Miles Sanders, and David Montgomery are the most likely of this rookie class to increase in value this season for one reason — volume. Jacobs and Montgomery look to already lead their teams’ backfields come week one and Sanders won’t have too much difficulty beating out Jordan Howard. As is the case most years, opportunity directly correlates with dynasty value and these players are the most likely of this class to be worth more than their sale price on draft day. (Kyler Murray would be in this group in 2QB formats)
Flash Performances Expected (4-19)
This is a large tier and is indicative of the amount of uncertainty that exists in this rookie class. All of the guys in this range should have boom weeks that should put them on radars but will battle inconsistency for most of the season. Because of that, there is not much between choosing any one of these players over the other outside of roster construction. My personal standouts include JJ Arcega-Whiteside, Noah Fant, Justice Hill, and Mecole Hardman.
Other Notable Taxi Squad Fodder (20-38)
Playing time isn’t something that will come easily to most of the players you’ll find on this list. That said, Terry Mclaurin, KeeSean Johnson, Hunter Renfrow, and Daniel Jones have all shown well to date. While it’s unlikely any of these guys contribute heavily to dynasty rosters this season, there should be better days in future years. Consider these guys interesting stashes off of your active roster for the 2019 season.
Back End Picks (39-50)
These players represent upside dart throws that can be taken in the last rounds of drafts Preston Williams and Devine Ozigbo represent guys with the easiest path to early opportunity but the long term outlook for most in this group are bleak.
|27||Irv Smith Jr.||MIN||TE3||12|
|43||Benny Snell Jr.||PIT||RB8||7|
Etan’s Dynasty Rankings by Position: Top 150 Overall | QB | RB | WR | TE
Are you onboard with Etan’s Dynasty Rookie Rankings? Head on over to the 2019 Fantrax Fantasy Football Draft Kit for more great strategy, analysis, and rankings.
Etan Mozia has been involved with sports as a whole for over two decades and has written about athletics in some capacity since 2005. Focused primarily on the NFL and EPL, Etan has seen his work featured on sites like FantasyPros, Advanced Sports Logic, and FFD260 among others. Currently, his work is housed on FantraxHQ and FantasyPros. An avid lover of dynasty leagues specifically, you can also listen to him on his podcast, The Dynasty Diagnostic (@DynoDiagnostic), as he breaks down rosters and provides pertinent and practical advice for dynasty squads looking to give their team an edge. Follow him on twitter @EtanMozia.
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Laughable! Darwin Thompson not in the top 50?! At minimum he’s top 25 and is an injury away from being the primary 3 down back in the most explosive offense in the NFL. That would put him in the convo of being in the top 50 overall, not just rookies.