NBA DFS Plays for Monday, 11/18: Never Turn Your Back on Love
It would be easy to sit here and recommend Giannis Antetokounmpo, James Harden, and Luka Doncic, but that’s not our goal here. The objective is to give you value plays to build around those guys so that you can get one or two of them into your lineup. That’s why we kept all of our recommendations below $10,000 in our last article and why we’re doing that again here. With that in mind, let’s get into our 11/18 NBA DFS Plays!
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11/18 NBA DFS Point Guards
Eric Bledsoe, MIL at CHI
DK ($7,200) FD ($7,900)
Bledsoe actually started quite the drama with the Bulls by putting down a meaningless dunk at the buzzer in a win on Thursday but that overshadowed quite the gem. Bledsoe finished that game with 31 points, four rebounds, and eight assists on 12-of-14 from the field, as it’s clear that his early-season slump is a thing of the past. In fact, Bledsoe is now averaging 37.2 DK points across his last eight games. That’s really no surprise when you see that Bledsoe has a 26 percent usage rate with Khris Middleton off the floor, averaging 1.4 DK points per minute in that span.
Aaron Holiday, IND at BRK
DK ($5,500) FD ($4,100)
With Malcolm Brogdon, T.J. McConnell, Victor Oladipo, and Jeremy Lamb all nicked up, Holiday has found himself in quite the expansive role. In six-straight starts, Holiday is averaging 25 DK points across 30 minutes a game. That’s all you can ask for from such a cheap player and he should continue that form while exploiting this Brooklyn defense. In fact, the Nets allow the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards while sitting 27th in total defense.
11/18 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
Fred VanVleet, TOR vs. CHA
DK ($7,400) FD ($7,800)
FVV has been in nearly every article that I’ve written for the past two weeks and it’s easy to see why when looking at his game log. Not only does he have at least 25 DK points in all 12 games played this season, but FVV is also averaging 43.4 DraftKings points over his last five games since Kyle Lowry got injured. That monstrous production is a beautiful thing against a Hornets defense who ranks 24th in defensive efficiency. Just keep using this guy until Lowry returns.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC vs. LAC
DK ($6,300) FD ($7,300)
This DraftKings price is truly shocking. SGA has been playing at an $8,000 level all season long and it’s strange to see him in the $6,500-range. We’re talking about a guy who’s scored at least 26 DK points in 10 of his 12 games this season while averaging 34 fantasy points per game. It’s clear OKC wants him to run the show too, leading the team with 16.6 shots, 35.3 minutes, and a 25.5 percent usage rate. Those usage numbers should be the floor here, with SGA playing a revenge game against the team who traded him.
11/18 NBA DFS Small Forwards
Norman Powell, TOR vs. CHA
DK ($5,200) FD ($4,600)
We used some higher-end options at the guard positions, so let’s give you a couple of cheap small forwards. We’ll go ahead and start with Powell, as he’s seen a major increase in production since the injuries to Lowry and Serge Ibaka. Over his last five games, Powell is averaging 25 DK points across 30 minutes a game. We love that he’s taking more than 10 shots a game in that span too and that should make him a great scoring option in a matchup like this. Charlotte is currently allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing SFs in addition to ranking 24th in defensive efficiency.
Rodney Hood, POR at HOU
DK ($4,700) FD ($4,500)
Hood sees Carmelo Anthony breathing down his neck and it’s led to two of the best games of his season. In fact, Hood has 41 combined raw points over his last two games, playing at least 31 minutes in both games. That’s something that we’ve seen a lot with Hood, as he’s played at least 30 minutes in every healthy game this season while averaging nearly 10 shots per outing. A role like that is hard to fade against the Rockets, with Houston ranked second in pace while allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards.
11/18 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Kevin Love, CLE at NYK
DK ($7,800) FD ($8,200)
Love has returned to his All-Star form this season and we definitely want to get some exposure against this putrid Knicks defense. Let’s start with that matchup, as New York currently ranks 21st in defensive rating while allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing PFs. That’s horrifying against a stud like this, with Love scoring at least 38 DK points in nine of his 11 games this season. A floor like that is fantastic at this price tag and he makes for a great contrarian play to the superstars mentioned in the introduction.
Dario Saric, PHX vs. BOS
DK ($5,500) FD ($5,000)
Saric has quietly had a nice year for the Suns and we believe that he should be $1,000 more on each site. While he’s mixed duds and gems all season long, averaging 28.2 DK points over his last three games is still impressive. It’s all about per-dollar value when it comes to DFS and that’s exactly what we have here with Saric. The matchup isn’t as bad as it seems either, with the Celtics allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this season.
11/18 NBA DFS Centers
Myles Turner, IND at BRK
DK ($6,100) FD ($6,900)
He’s Baaaack! I’ve been waiting for Turner to return for weeks now and my fantasy teams are ecstatic that he’s back and fully healthy. If you take out the game where he got injured, Turner is averaging 36.6 DK points per game this season. That brilliant form is why people spent a high draft pick on him in season-long leagues and we have to love this discount because of his recent absence. The best part of this play is the matchup though, with Brooklyn surrendering the fourth-most fantasy points in the league to opposing centers. All of that makes these price tags very surprising.
If you’re looking for someone cheaper, Brook Lopez gets a fantastic matchup against the Bulls and is way too cheap on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
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