The hope is that everyone continues to be profitable playing NFL DFS. Regardless, that is now in the past and we have a new week of action in front of us. My intention is to help you make Week 11 of NFL DFS a week to remember as you finish in the green. With that being said, let us jump right into my top Week 11 DFS picks.
Each week, I will take a look at one option at each position that can be a nice piece in your lineup. Additionally, I will provide one stud and one value option to target along with one expected bust.
NFL Week 11 DFS Picks
Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers, $5,800
We get Brock Purdy not only at a good price this week but also in a favorable matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Purdy returns home and faces a Tampa Bay team that is allowing the fifth most DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks.
Last week was another efficient performance for Purdy. San Francisco wasn’t exactly taxed in Jacksonville as Purdy threw for three touchdowns. He was efficient completing 19 of 26 passes for 296 yards which brought his season totals to 2.329 yards and 15 touchdowns. With a healthy Deebo Samuel, there are a plethora of weapons at Purdy’s disposal, and he should take advantage of things yet again.
Brian Robinson, Washington Commanders, $5,800
With Antonio Gibson likely out this week, Brian Robinson is slated for an increased workload. It is a favorable matchup against the Giants this week, and game flow will also also support that.
While Robinson only had eight carries for 38 yards last week, the running back certainly made his presence felt in the passing game. Robinson caught six passes for 119 yards and a touchdown last week, and it is a good sign. With Gibson out, snaps and plays in the passing game are for grabs, they likely will be going to Robinson.
Robinson has eight touchdowns overall this season, five on the ground and three in the passing game. His workload does vary based on game flow, but this week’s will lean towards the run game. Gibson likely being sidelined helps here as Robinson turns into a three-down back.
Davante Adams, Las Vegas Raiders, $7,900
Following the Raiders’ coaching change, there has been a real effort towards getting Davante Adams the ball more often. Last week, Adams was targeted 13 times which he turned into six receptions for 86 yards.
So far this season, Adams has 57 receptions for 659 yards. The bigger issue is the fact that Adams has caught just three touchdowns to this point. We know all about the offensive firepower on Miami’s side, and that has also led to a lot of production from opposing receivers as their offenses play catch up.
Adams is an elite receiver who figures to be busy on Sunday. As Aidan O’Connell settles in, the expectation is that Adams finds the end zone once again.
Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals, $4,400
At this price, I’m going to continue riding the Trey McBride train. Getting Kyler Murray back certainly was ideal for the second-year tight. McBride is also making very good use out of his increased volume while earning more and securing his role in the offense.
In his first game with Murray this season, McBride was targeted nine times. It led to eight receptions for 131 yards. It was his second strong game out of his last three. It’s possible we see a shootout this week as the Cardinals face the Houston Texans. From the perspective of McBride, the Texans do struggle defensively against opposing tight ends which only enhances his outlook.
Pittsburgh Steelers, $3,500
Divisional games are always fun, and that is especially the case with two AFC North rivals. The Cleveland Browns are allowing opposing defenses to tally the sixth most DraftKings points against them. DeShaun Watson is now out for the season which means the Browns are going back to rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson on Sunday.
Thompson-Robinson has struggled this season, and with Nick Chubb also out all year, Cleveland is missing something in the run game. The Steelers have been getting results on defense this year which continues to lead to production. Pittsburgh has 10 interceptions this season to go along with eight fumble recoveries and 27 sacks.
Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers, $8,600
Austin Ekeler lost a few weeks this season with an ankle injury, but all systems do appear to be in working order. Ekeler gets a good matchup this week against the Green Bay Packers as he looks to build on that.
Last week, Ekeler had a season-high 19 carries which was good for 67 yards and his fifth touchdown of the season. Ekeler has yet to be truly efficient on a per-carry basis, but the volume is there. We do get additional production in the passing game, and this could be the week in which Ekeler truly makes a statement.
Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers, $4,000
Targeting the Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has been a viable strategy this season. Even while facing some bad offenses, the Chargers are still allowing the fifth most DraftKings points to opposing receivers.
Christian Watson has been struggling this season, so that has allowed other receivers to step up. Over the past few weeks, that has been the rookie Jayden Reed. Against Pittsburgh last week, Reed caught all five of his targets for 84 yards and a touchdown. It was Reed’s fourth touchdown of the season as he works through the adjustment phase. At this price, we have low-cost exposure to a favorable matchup.
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills, $9,100
Stefon Diggs is not coming cheaply this week. In fact just the opposite despite the offensive obstacles that Buffalo has had thus far in the season. With offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey relieved of his duties, it is truly a situation in flux.
There has been some real controversy associated with Diggs and his frustration this season, and it is difficult to feel confident in him. Despite their offensive struggles, the Jets’ defense is allowing the fewest DraftKings points to opposing wide receivers.
It is a good sign for Diggs that with 73 receptions for 868 yards and seven touchdowns, not everything has gone wrong for him even with some controversy. Diggs did have a strong game against the Jets in Week 1, but while I expect the Bills to win this week, it’s hard to trust the offense.