Do you support your friends and family in their endeavors? I mean actually support them. Root for them, cheer them on towards success. Or do you want them to have success as long as it is less than your own?
I actually really root for people to do well. I want people to be out there being as successful as possible at whatever it is they are doing. Do you know why? Because I want people to be happy. If my friends and family are happy then I am truly happy for them. Happiness is true wealth.
Whether it be fitness, career, or relationship goals I support my friends and family where I can. I will try to help foster their growth in that area if possible. We help people to achieve their goals if we can not get anything from that other than the satisfaction of knowing we helped.
If anything, this will help you have happier relationships with those you care about. Let them know you are proud of their accomplishments. Where possible help them achieve new goals. In turn, this will help grow some of your own happiness as well. What comes around truly does go around.
With that in mind hopefully, I can help you achieve some fantasy football success this week. So, let’s get to Money Makers and Heart Breakers for the Week 11 NFL DFS Main Slate. And don’t forget, you can also use these insights as sit/start advice for your weekly lineups.
Week 11 NFL DFS Main Slate Picks
Here is a brief definition of each of my terms for anyone that might be new:
💰 Money Maker – This player will perform better than expectations
💔 Heart Breaker – This player will perform lower than expectations
💰 Money Makers
Brock Purdy – The Forty Niners have their full complement of skill position players active and healthy. That spells trouble for opponents as Brock is good when everyone is in the lineup. In the last 2 games, Purdy has thrown for either over 350 yards or 3 touchdowns. Topping 20 fantasy points in both games. In Week 11 the Niners will play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Bucs give up the sixth most fantasy points to opposing teams’ quarterbacks. The stars align for Purdy in Week 11. That team sure does have a Purdy mouth, I mean quarterback.
$5,800 on DraftKings
$7,500 on FanDuel
CJ Stroud – You know Stroud has been on fire lately, I certainly don’t have to tell you that. The Texans seem to have found their guy and set him loose. In the past 2 games, he has a combined total of 826 yards and 6 touchdowns. In Week 11 the Texan will play the Cardinals. The Cardinals are a bottom-10 defense against the pass. You can expect Stroud to throw and throw some more in Week 11.
$7,000 on DraftKings
$8,000 on FanDuel
Tommy DeVito – The Giants are playing the Commanders in Week 11. The Commanders give up the most fantasy points to opposing teams’ quarterbacks. This is either a desperation play or you really want to pay down at quarterback. I thought it would be fun to talk about Danny, I mean Tommy. In Week 10, Tommy did have 2 touchdowns. Essentially with this one, I am saying the matchup is good so there is a chance, as quarterbacks average 275 yards and 2 touchdowns per game against the Commanders’ defense.
$5,000 on DraftKings
$6,300 on FanDuel
Other Quarterback DFS Picks for Week 11
$5,600 on DraftKings
$7,300 on FanDuel
$5,200 on DraftKings
$6,600 on FanDuel
$6,600 on DraftKings
$7,900 on FanDuel
Austin Ekeler – Last week the Steelers had not one, but two running backs score double-digit fantasy points against the Packers’ defense. Ekeler is one of the best running backs in the game. So we have a great running back going up against a defense that doesn’t defend running backs well. Smash play for Ekeler this week. I would pay up in DFS for him in Week 11
$8,600 on DraftKings
$8,800 on FanDuel
Devin Singletary – The Cardinals defense isn’t very good. They give up the third most fantasy points to running backs. In Week 10, Singletary ran the ball 30 times for the Texans. Dameon Pierce was out so Singletary got all the touches in that plus match-up. Pierce is nursing an ankle injury and has not been producing great when healthy. It looks like Singletary will get the majority of the touches in another plus match-up in Week 11.
$5,300 on DraftKings
$6,500 on FanDuel
Darrell Henderson – This is the last hurrah for Henderson as Kyren Williams is expected back in Week 12. With that in mind let’s give Henderson a sendoff by playing him in Week 11. If you think that this is just because I am a kind person, you are wrong. It’s because the Rams play the Seahawks in Week 11. In the past two games, four different running backs have scored double-digit fantasy points against the Seahawks, that is two for each team that has played them. This is a nice spot to play Henderson and probably to plug Royce Freeman in as well.
$5,000 on DraftKings
$6,100 on FanDuel
Other Running Back DFS Picks for Week 11
$6,200 on DraftKings
$7,000 on FanDuel
$5,800 on DraftKings
$7,200 on FanDuel
$6,600 on DraftKings
$8,000 on FanDuel
Mike Evans – The Niners give up the ninth most fantasy points to opposing teams’ wide receivers. The wide receivers’ position has averaged 15 receptions, 170 yards, and a touchdown against the Niners. Evans is in the middle of a great season with 70 targets, 43 receptions, 737 yards, and 6 touchdowns. The 6 touchdowns match his 2022 season total. Evans is a high-floor, high-ceiling play this week.
$7,400 on DraftKings
$7,700 on FanDuel
Jayden Reed – I also like Romeo Doubs here. I picked Reed because he just seems to catch everything thrown at him, and his cost is less. Reed has a 15% share of the Packers targets. He also has a 62% catch rate which is the highest of the Packers wide receivers. In Week 10 he saw 5 targets which he turned into 5 receptions which he turned into 5 receptions 84 yards and a touchdown. Jordan Love is not the most accurate of passers, which is why I picked the guy with the highest catch rate. The Packers play the Chargers in Week 11. The Chargers give up the fifth most fantasy points to opposing teams’ wide receivers. It doesn’t hurt that his last name is so close to being the same as mine as well.
$4,000 on DraftKings
$6,000 on FanDuel
Christian Kirk – Kirk is a guy with a super consistent floor and high ceiling. He has only 2 games this season where he scored under 10 fantasy points. In Week 11 Kirk had a 35% target share. That was 11 targets which he turned into 6 receptions and 104 yards. This week the Jaguars are playing the Titans. If you didn’t know the Titans are bad at defending wide receivers. The Titans give up the seventh most fantasy points to opposing teams’ wide receivers. Kirk is about to put some serious numbers in the captain’s log for Week 11.
$6,000 on DraftKings
$6,900 on FanDuel
Other Wide Receiver DFS Picks for Week 11
$5,900 on DraftKings
$7,000 on FanDuel
$5,600 on DraftKings
$6,800 on FanDuel
$7,900 on DraftKings
$7,600 on FanDuel
Cole Kmet – The Bears play the Lions in Week 11. The Lions give up the seventh most fantasy points to opposing teams’ tight ends. Kmet has been heavily involved in the Bears passing game the past three games. He has 25 targets, 21 receptions, 179 yards, and 2 touchdowns over that span. He has been Tyson Bagnet’s favorite target during that span. Whenever I say Cole Kmet’s name out loud I think of Gary Gnu for some reason. (Look him up)
$4,100 on DraftKings
$5,600 on FanDuel
Luke Musgrave – Musgrave is a pretty dynamic tight end. He can make a catch and make something happen. Musgrave has had only 4 targets a game the past 2 games. He has taken those 8 targets and turned them into 5 receptions, 115 yards, and a touchdown. That is over 50 yards each game and a touchdown in Week 9. In Week 11 the Packers will play the Chargers. The Chargers give up the fourth most fantasy points to opposing teams’ tight ends. The matchup is right, and the Packers will be throwing the ball. Essentially, you could do worse.
$3,600 on DraftKings
$5,200 on FanDuel
Trey McBride – I am playing McBride everywhere I can in Week 11. The Texans, who give up the fifth most fantasy points to opposing teams’ tight ends, are up next. McBride has been seeing a crazy target share for a tight end. In Week 10 he had a 28% target share. That was 9 targets, 8 receptions, and 131 yards. This game has a 47.5 over under and I feel like I am not talking about it enough yet. This is the world of Commander McBride!
$4,400 on DraftKings
$5,900 on FanDuel
Other Tight Ends DFS Picks for Week 11
$2,900 on DraftKings
$4,600 on FanDuel
$4,900 on DraftKings
$5,800 on FanDuel
Commanders – The Commanders are playing the Giants in Week 11. The Giants give up the most fantasy points to opposing teams’ defenses. Team defenses average 14.10 points per week against the Giants’ defense. In Week 7 The Commanders had 4 sacks and 2 fumble recoveries against the Giants. Danny DeVito, I mean Tommy DeVito is starting at quarterback for the Giants. This smells like a spot where paying up can be ok.
$3,600 on DraftKings
$4,700 on FanDuel
Steelers – The Cleveland Browns have put out a statement that Deshaun Watson will have season-ending surgery. PJ Walker is expected to step in and play quarterback for the Browns. The Browns already gave up the fifth most fantasy points to opposing teams’ defenses. So, they are bad. The Steelers already played the Browns in Week 2. In that game, the Steelers’ defensive stats looked like this. 6 sacks, 1 interception, 3 fumble recoveries and 2 touchdowns. The Steelers will close their curtain in what looks to be a defensive battle this week.
$3,500 on DraftKings
$4,000 on FanDuel
Giants – If you don’t want to pay up for the Commanders’ defense have no fear, the Giants are here. The Commanders give up the seventh most fantasy points opposing teams’ defenses. As I stated above these two teams played each other in Week 7. In that game, the Giants’ defense looked like, well Giants. They had 6 sacks, an interception, and a blocked kick. If you want to pay down in DFS this week I am doing it with the Giants.
$3,000 on DraftKings
$3,500 on FanDuel
Justin Herbert – The Chargers play the Packers in Week 11. The Packer’s defense is pretty good against quarterbacks. Only 1 quarterback has scored more than 20 fantasy points against the Packers this season. It is the third toughest defense against quarterbacks when it comes to quarterback play. In matchups against top-tier defenses this season, Herbert has not been good. He averages 14.79 fantasy points against them. I am not charged up to play Herbert.
Kenny Pickett – Let’s start with the fact that Picket hasn’t been good. He has yet to top 20 fantasy points this season. We can follow that up with the Cleveland Browns defense is very good. They are the second-best at defending quarterbacks. In Week 2 Kenny managed 222 yards and a touchdown against the Browns. That may be his ceiling against this team. This game should be a nice old-fashioned defensive battle.
Baker Mayfield – Baker has been cooking this season. It feels like being a journeyman quarterback agrees with him more than being a franchise quarterback did. He has been good in bad matchups, good enough that I am playing him in season-long. But; and there always is a but with a heartbreaker; the Niners give up the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing teams’ quarterbacks. I am out on Mayfield in DFS for Week 11.
Christian McCaffrey – What? How can you have McCaffrey as a heartbreaker? What is wrong with you Mike? Well, hear me out before you call me an idiot. I am talking about DFS where his price is all the way up. It is unlikely that he will give you the production of 30-plus points this week to justify that price in DFS. The Buccaneers defend running backs really well. They give up the second-fewest fantasy points to running backs. Please play him as you would in season-long, but he is a no-no in DFS.
Javonte Williams – The Vikings give up the sixth-fewest fantasy points to running backs. Unfortunately for the Williams, the Broncos play the Vikings in Week 11. Williams has been great the past 3 games and I have him in season-long lineups. This is a floor game at best though. This defense held Alvin Kamara to 15 fantasy points in Week 10. Running backs have only scored 5 touchdowns against them this season, and only 5 running backs have scored double-digit fantasy points against the Vikings.
Jaylen Warren – Congratulations to Jaylen Warren for being named the Steelers’ new starting running back. This is well deserved. I am so happy for him. You get to celebrate by going up against the Browns and their defense that is top 7 against running backs. Not a single running back this season has rushed for more than 66 yards against the Browns and they have only allowed 4 rushing touchdowns.
Stefon Diggs – Stefon Diggs played against the Jets in Week 1. In that game, he had 10 receptions for 102 yards and a touchdown. He is that good and he has a chance to replicate that this week. But the Jets give up the fewest fantasy points to opposing teams’ wide receivers. Diggs is the only wide receiver to top 20 fantasy points against the Jets and only 5 wide receivers have managed double-digit fantasy scores against the Jets this season. I am not digging Stefon in Week 11.
Diontae Johnson – Another Steelers player? How is this possible? The Steelers are 6-3 and their offense must be good. No, it isn’t. The Browns’ defense on the other hand is outstanding. In Week 10, which was another tough matchup, Diontae had a miserable stat line; 4 targets, 1 reception, and 17 yards. That is my expectation for him in Week 11.
Adam Thielen – I am hopeful with the change back to Frank Reich calling the offensive plays that Thielen will have production this week. I hope he is better than his last two games where he hasn’t topped 50 yards or scored 10 fantasy points. The problem is the opponent is pretty good in Week 11. The Cowboys’ defense gives up the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing teams’ wide receivers. We can put together a little prayer circle for a high-volume game to push Thielen into double digits, but it may not help.
Evan Engram – The Jaguars offense has seemed a little off in 2023. Engram only has 2 games of double-digit fantasy points this season. Just 2! Meanwhile, in Week 11 the Titans show up on the schedule. The Titans give up the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing teams’ tight ends. Everything is set up for failure here. Bad play, bad matchup, everything is bad. I feel so negative after writing that, I may need to go play some happy music to pick me back up.
Cade Otton – Otton was trending up as a tight end until Week 10. In that game, he had 3 targets which he turned into 2 receptions for 10 yards. That was against a Titans defense that defends tight ends well. It didn’t get any easier for Otton in Week 11. Now he gets to play against a Niners defense that has given up the third-fewest fantasy points to tight ends. There has been only 1 double-digit fantasy score by a tight end against the Niners this season. It will stay that way in Week 11.
NOTE: There are literally so many tight ends to tell you not to play I can’t even pick which other players to write about. What a mess tight end has been in 2023.