The American League East division has seen a massive shift with the emergence of the Baltimore Orioles, who have assembled what seems to be a powerhouse and are giving the division something to think about long term. This week we will dive into the Toronto system to see what key prospects are on the cusp of being able to help the big league club as well as dynasty baseball managers looking for future production. In this breakdown, I will go into depth on the top 10 prospects while ranking out the top 30 in the organization. Let’s dive into the Top 30 prospects of the Toronto Blue Jays farm and find gems to target for dynasty leagues.
Top 10 Toronto Blue Jays Prospects For Dynasty Baseball
Ricky Tiedemann, LHP TOR
(15 GS, 44 IP, 82 K, 3.68 ERA, 1.227 WHIP)
The crown jewel of the Toronto Blue Jays system right now is Ricky Tiedemann, a hard-throwing 20-year-old who has skyrocketed up rankings over the last two seasons. The high strikeout potential is apparent as Tiedemann had a 16.31 K/9 across 32 innings at Double-A New Hampshire in 2023. At the same level, Tiedemann had a 5.06 ERA in 11 starts but seemed not to be helped by his defense behind him ultimately having a 2.12 FIP.
The plus fastball and slider stand out when you watch footage but the advancements in Tiedemann’s change-up have been impressive as I’ve seen it listed as a potential plus offering. What will make or break Tiedemann will be the command and control long term. While in Double-A New Hampshire Tiedemann had a 5.63 BB/9 but the young lefty battled injuries and innings limitations throughout the season so I’ll save judgment till 2024. If everything clicks this is a high-end SP 2 pitcher with the possibility of a SP 1 potential.
Orelvis Martinez, SS/3B TOR
(125 GP, .243/.340/.496, 28 HR, 94 RBI, 2 SB)
Dynasty managers who have followed the Blue Jays system since 2019 are no doubt aware of the power-hitting Orelvis Martinez and his slow rise up the system. This season Martinez ascended from Double-A to finish the season in Triple-A Buffalo. The 21-year-old showed a much-improved plate approach in 2023. In 70 games at Double-A Martinez had a 14% walk percentage and followed that up with a 10.6% walk percentage in 55 games once in Triple-A.
Across the board, you can see improvements to Martinez’s game, from the strikeout rate dropping to 20.5% while in Double-A, to the 33-point spike in his OBP in Double-A over the 118 games played at the same level in 2022. The one constant has been the power as he came two home runs shy of back-to-back 30 home-run seasons. Martinez should be on dynasty baseball radars for the 2024 season as the departure of Matt Chapman at third base could open up an opportunity for Orelvis Martinez to debut.
Brandon Barriera, LHP TOR
(7 GS, 20.1 IP, 25 K, 3.98 ERA, 0.934 WHIP)
One of the most underrated arms in this farm system to me is Brandon Barriera, the left-handed high school pitcher who was taken 23rd overall in the 2022 MLB draft and was quoted saying, “The teams that passed up on me are going to regret it.” The pure confidence of Barriera has not translated to in-game production just yet but he was solid in a short sample size across the complex ball and in Low-A Dunedin. In six starts for Dunedin, Barriera struck out 23 batters over 18.1 innings; good for a solid 11.29 K/9 while keeping the ball on the ground for a 76.3% ground ball rate.
🔥⚾️TOR LHP Brandon Barriera was limited in 2023 but the numbers are solid for the 19-year-old at CPX and A- ball.
• 20.1 IP
• 25 K
• 11.29 K/9
• .164 AVG
• 3.98 ERA
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) November 9, 2023
Now the ERA finished at 4.42 though the FIP for 3.26 indicates Barriera might have been a bit unlucky in the short sample size. What will need to get better in Barriera’s command and control as the 19-year-old had a 3.93 BB/9 in Low-A and will need to lower that as he ascends the Blue Jays farm system. The upside of Barriera is that of a mid-tier SP 2 with the floor of a “set-up man” in the bullpen due to the high strikeout upside.
Gabriel Martinez, OF TOR
(109 GP, .242/.300/.374, 12 HR, 49 RBI, 2 SB)
The Blue Jays had to be satisfied with what they saw out of Gabriel Martinez in 2022 as he finished with a solid .293/.355/.477 slash line and hit 14 home runs across three levels (rookie ball, A-, A+). The 2023 season was still solid for the 20-year-old Martinez though a step backward, as he slashed .242/.300/.374 across 109 games back in High-A. When you look at the numbers for the season, everything lines up with the 2022 season for Martinez. So why the 80-point drop in average and OBP? Honestly, it might just be a case of “bad luck.” His BABIP was extremely low at .267 as he sat at .314, and .361 respectively in 2022. If anything, I’m buying Gabriel Martinez over the off-season as everything else he was doing was on point with the projections.
Addison Barger, SS/3B TOR
(94 GP, .247/.353/.392, 9 HR, 47 RBI, 5 SB)
Dynasty managers know the name Addison Barger at this point, as he had a stellar 2022 season, finishing in Triple-A Buffalo, setting him up for a potential call-up in 2023. Unfortunately, that did not happen as Barger dealt with several injuries. The 88 games played in Triple-A Buffalo were still solid. Barger hit .250/.353/.403 with nine home runs, 53 runs scored, 46 RBIs, and five stolen bases in eight attempts, showing the same advanced approach at the plate with a solid 13.1% walk rate. As I said with Orelvis Martinez the departure of Matt Chapman opens up possibilities for the young Blue Jays prospects to lock down third base long-term for the Blue Jays.
Enmanuel Bonilla, OF TOR
(50 GP, .307/.407/.429, 3 HR, 22 RBI, 5 SB)
With his professional debut in the Dominican Summer League, Enmanuel Bonilla impressed the Blue Jays and dynasty managers alike. In 50 games, Bonilla slashed .307/.407/.429 with three home runs, 41 runs scored, 22 RBIs, and five stolen bases in 10 attempts. The 17-year-old showed solid walk rates in the DSL with an 11.9% walk percentage but also displayed some swing and miss with a 24.3% strikeout rate in 226 plate appearances. Standing at 6’1” and 180 pounds, Bonilla profiles as a power-hitting outfield prospect who should gain power as he fills out. Don’t be surprised to see Bonilla down in Low-A Dunedin in 2024 as he should be poised to come state-side.
Arjun Nimmala, SS TOR
(9 GP, .200/.500/.320, 3 RBI, 1 SB)
The first-round draft pick this season for the Blue Jays was Arjun Nimmala, a 6’1” high school shortstop who has the potential to be a plus-power bat in the Blue Jays infield for years to come. The sample size is small for Nimmala as he only played nine games in complex ball but showed an advanced approach at the plate walking 14 times in 40 plate appearances (35% BB%). Although Nimmala’s .200/.500/.320 slash line doesn’t jump off the page, it should be noted that he made the most out of the hits, driving in three runs on just 5 hits with two of those hits coming as extra bases.
Once again, it’s a small sample size in a controlled environment for Nimmala, but it is encouraging going into the 2024 season where he would get most of his games played in Low-A Dunedin and see where the Blue Jays send him from there.
Cade Doughty, 3B/2B TOR
(102 GP, .264/.342/.459, 18 HR, 68 RBI, 4 SB)
Selected 78th overall in the competitive balance rounds of the 2022 MLB draft, Cade Doughty put together solid numbers in his first full season of pro ball. Playing the full season (102 games) in High-A, Doughty slashed .264/.342/.459 with 18 home runs, 61 runs scored, 68 RBIs, and stole four bases in six attempts. There is no doubt a ton of swing and miss here with Cade Doughty, as the 29.7% strikeout percentage indicates this season, but he replicated the solid walk percentage of 8.3% we saw after being drafted in 2022. Overall I’m not convinced he will play every day in the majors with a high 20’s rate but if he can get it down to the 20-22% range he would be considered a solid second base prospect.
Tucker Toman, SS/3B TOR
(114 GP, .208/.320/.313, 5 HR, 51 RBI, 7 SB)
Taken one pick before Cade Doughty at 77th overall in the 2022 MLB draft, Tucker Toman impressed straight out of high school. Once in the complex league, Toman slashed .289/.391/.368 with a 15.2% walk percentage getting dynasty managers excited at advanced high school bat. Unfortunately this season we didn’t see the same results as Toman played the entire season in Low-A Dunedin slashing just .208/.320/.313 but the low .289 BABIP indicates we can expect better from Toman.
📝TOR SS/3B Tucker Toman had a rough year on the surface but the underlying numbers are encouraging.
• 320 OBP
• 12.5 % BB%
• 32 XBH (24 2B, 3 3B, 5 HR)
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) November 9, 2023
The OBP was helped in large part by Toman’s 12.5% walk percentage across 503 plate appearances in 2023. One thing Toman did very well was hit the ball hard, as he had 89 hits in Low-A with 32 of them coming as extra-base hits. Hopefully, Toman can bring down the strikeout rate in 2024 as it would not surprise me if the Blue Jays send him back to Low-A at least to start the season, before bringing him up to High-A. Toman would be a solid target this off-season in 12-team leagues and up as a throw-in trade negotiation as I believe Toman could be a breakout candidate.
Alan Roden, 1B/OF TOR
(115 GP, .317/.431/.459, 10 HR, 68 RBI, 24 SB)
Show of hands how many dynasty managers remember the Blue Jays selecting Alan Roden 98th overall in the 2022 MLB draft? I’ll be honest I didn’t either but perhaps we should have. Roden played 115 games total in 2023 across two levels of High-A and finished the season in Double-A New Hampshire. First in High-A, Roden played 69 games while slashing .321/.437/.459 with four home runs, 57 runs scored, 41 RBIs, and swiped 15 bases in 17 attempts. The plate approach was stellar as Roden had a 13% walk percentage paired with a 9.9% strikeout percentage in 323 total plate appearances.
📝📈TOR 1B/OF Alan Roden had a sneaky good season split between A+ and AA. In 115 combined games played he had a..
• .317 AVG
• .431 OBP
• .459 SLG
• 10 HR
• 68 RBI
• 24 SB
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) November 9, 2023
Once promoted to Double-A, Roden went on to slash .310/.421/.460 with six home runs, 35 runs scored, 27 RBIs, and swiped nine bases in 11 attempts. While with the Fisher Cats, Roden walked 12.4% of the time while striking out 15.3% of the time. This is a must-target prospect for me this off-season in deeper dynasty leagues as he should be climbing up rankings as the pre-season rankings will start coming out in February.
Top 30 Toronto Blue Jays Prospect Rankings
|28||CJ Van Eyk||RHP||25||2024||NR|