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NBA DFS Plays for Wednesday, 12/4: Don’t be a Dinwiddie

Monday’s slate was extremely annoying with a bunch of blowouts and those sorts of nights always cause chaos for DFS purposes. That’s why we had a mixture of duds and good games from our recommendations but this slate appears to be a lot more predictable. With that in mind, let’s get into our 12/4 NBA DFS picks!

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12/4 NBA DFS Point Guards

Tomas Satoransky, CHI vs. MEM

DK ($5,200) FD ($5,800)

I really don’t understand this pricing with Satoransky. After having to battle all of these guards for minutes, it appears that Sato has established a 25-30-minute floor. That’s truly evident recently, with Tomas playing 31 minutes a game over his last five fixtures while averaging 30.5 DraftKings points per game in that span. That’s a cornucopia of fantasy points at just $5,200 and we absolutely adore this matchup against the Grizzlies. Not only do they rank sixth in pace, but Memphis also sits 22nd in defensive efficiency and 27th in points allowed.

De’Anthony Melton, MEM at CHI

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,400)

Let me loosen my straitjacket to write this one. If you would have told me that Melton would be in one of my articles a month into the season, I’d demand to be sent back to the asylum. Here we are though, as Melton has found himself as a fantasy-relevant player. The Ja Morant back injury is definitely the reason why, with Melton playing at least 23 minutes in back-to-back games. More importantly, he’s got at least 32 DK points in both of those games, making him one of the best values out there. That monster production at this sort of price is hard to fade in such a tasty matchup, with the Bulls ranked 21st in net rating while providing an average defense at best.

12/4 NBA DFS Shooting Guards

Spencer Dinwiddie, BRK at ATL

DK ($8,200) FD ($8,700)

Dinwiddie has been in this article a ton over recent weeks and it appears we’re doing something right when looking at his recent production. In fact, he has at least 35 DK points in all nine games that he’s started for Kyrie Irving while averaging 43 fantasy points per game in that span. That’s really no surprise when you see that he has a usage rate approaching 40 percent with both Irving and Caris LeVert off the floor. The icing on the cake is this matchup though, with Atlanta ranked 25th in defensive efficiency and 28th in points surrendered.

Alec Burks, GS at CHA

DK ($6,000) FD ($6,300)

Burks has established himself as one of the best players on this dismantled Warriors roster and it’s a wonder why he remains in this $6,000-range. We’re talking about a guy who leads the team with a 25 percent usage rate since D’Angelo Russell got injured and he’s surely benefiting from all of the other injuries on this roster too. Getting usage is one thing but the production matches it. In fact, Burks is averaging 30.2 DraftKings points across 31 minutes of action over his last 15 games. We especially like that against a Charlotte team who sits 29th in defensive rating while allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards.

12/4 NBA DFS Small Forwards

Evan Fournier, ORL vs. PHX

DK ($6,500) FD ($6,900)

Much like Dinwiddie, Fournier has taken on a much bigger role thanks to an injury. That happens to be Nikola Vucevic, as Fournier leads the team with a 28 percent usage rate with him off the floor. Getting that usage has led to the Frenchman scoring at least 34 DK points in nine of his last 11 games which actually matches his average in that span. Anyone producing like that is hard to overlook against a team like the Suns, with Phoenix ranked 19th in total defense

Joe Harris, BRK at ATL

DK ($5,700) FD ($5,900)

Harris has also found a nice role with LeVert and Irving injured and he’s truly flying under the radar right now. Averaging 25 DK points over his last 16 games is impressive but scoring at least 32 fantasy points in each of his last four fixtures is truly magical at this price. That means one of the best shooters in the league is getting hot which is a DFS owner’s dream. That dream is more of a nightmare for the Hawks though, with Atlanta sitting 29th in total defense while surrendering the most fantasy points in the league to opposing small forwards.

12/4 NBA DFS Power Forwards

Eric Paschall, GS at CHA

DK ($6,500) FD ($6,400)

Paschall has thrown his hat in the ring for Rookie of the Year and it would be hard to argue that he’s not the top candidate for that award right now with his recent form. Injuries to Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Russell, and Draymond Green have destroyed this roster but have sky-rocketed Paschall’s fantasy value. Since capturing a starting role 10 games ago, Paschall is averaging over 30 DraftKings points per game. Most importantly, he’s leading the team in usage, indicating that he’s the focal point of this offense, We love that against a Hornets club who own the second-worst defensive rating in the NBA.

Khem Birch, ORL vs. PHX

DK ($5,300) FD ($5,900)

Birch has been starting for Nikola Vucevic (ankle) and it’s done wonders for his fantasy value. Over his last four games, Birch is averaging 27.5 minutes and over 25 fantasy points per game. That’s really all you can hope for from a player in the $5,000-range and he should continue to see big minutes with Vucevic and Al-Farouq Aminu sidelined. The best part about this play might be the matchup though, with the Suns allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this season.

12/4 NBA DFS Centers

Hassan Whiteside, POR vs. SAC

DK ($7,600) FD ($8,300)

Whiteside is finally seeing an increase in price and it’s about time. This dude has done nothing but produce all season long which is evident when you see that he’s averaging 37 DK points per game. We love his floor too, scoring at least 26 fantasy points in 13-straight games while averaging just shy of 40 DK points per game in that span. He actually dropped a season-best 59 DraftKings points in his last game despite scoring just eight real points, which shows how valuable he can be through peripheral statistics like rebounds and blocks. That’s bad news for the Kings, who currently rank 19th in defensive efficiency.

Willie Cauley-Stein, GS vs. CHA

DK ($4,800) FD ($4,800)

This sounds crazy but Cauley-Stein is a great bargain below $5,000 on both sites. He actually has at least 16 DK points in 14-straight games while averaging 25 fantasy points per game in that span. That’s frightening for a Charlotte defense who’s allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing centers. The simple fact is, you’re getting a 4X floor from a player in the best possible matchup and that makes him hard to completely fade in a big slate like this.

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