Welcome to David Mendelson’s MLB DFS Quick Hits for FanDuel & Draft Kings Contests for Thursday, September 24, 2020
Welcome to my last DFS article of the season! It’s been an absolute pleasure doing these every Tuesday and Thursday for you guys over the last two months. Hopefully, you’ve had some fun reading these and I’ve helped you win a little money in the process. With that being said, we have a six-game slate tonight with intriguing high-end arms and bats on bats! In these MLB DFS Quick Hits, you’ll see my:
Pitching Plays – My top two pitching plays of the night. The opposing team’s effectiveness against pitcher’s handedness, K rate, and wRC+ are just a few of the items considered here.
Happy Hitters – One corner infielder, middle infielder, and two outfielders who should be smiling at the end of the night. Hitter’s platoon splits, ISO, and wOBA are just a few of the items considered here.
Let’s Get Weird – I will give one hitter and one pitcher lesser owned that MIGHT have a chance to boom but an equal chance to bust. In other words, a dart throw that could set you apart in MLB DFS GPP’s. Your decision if you want to live dangerously.
Let’s dive right into today.
For more analysis on the latest trends from around MLB, check out Chris Clegg’s 2020 Studs and Duds.
Top MLB DFS Plays for 9/24
- Corbin Burnes ($8,400 DK / $10,600 FD) – Who would have thought that you’d be putting potential Cy Young candidate and Corbin Burnes in the same sentence a few months back? That’s 2020 for you. Corbin Burnes has looked like an absolute ace in 2020 with his electric cutter and slider. The Cardinals have a bottom third of the league wRC+ vs RHP over the last 30 days, with a pitiful .129 ISO. The current NL ERA leader should be the easy top pitching play on this slate.
- Cristian Javier ($7,400 DK / $7,400 FD) – I’m always going to place my chips on a RHP going against the Texas Rangers. That projects to be Cristian Javier as of this writing. Javier is quietly having a nice season, accumulating a 3.33 ERA and 48 SO’s in 48 IP. He’s written here though because of the previously mentioned Rangers lineup. The Rangers are striking out an insane 29% against RHP since the start of September. Combine that with a 6% walk rate and we have a juicy matchup for Mr. Javier. Start him with confidence.
- Corner Infield: Freddie Freeman ($5,500 DK / $ 4,200 FD) – You better get used to seeing Braves in this article, because there are A LOT of them. Freeman will be the BEST of all of them in my opinion as his numbers vs RHP over the course of September are astounding. Over 73 AB’s, Freeman is slashing .458/.562/.966 and is walking more than he’s striking out. He also has a .508 ISO and 286 wRC+ over that time. Pick a stat and he’s literally at the top of every category. Easy chalk play here.
- Middle Infield: Ozzie Albies ($5,500 DK / $4,100 FD) – Our second Brave! This time I’ll mention that pitcher that they are scheduled to face. Pablo Lopez. Remember him? The guy that gave up 7 earned runs in less than 2 innings his last time against them. This isn’t just a one start deal as he is 1-4 with a 5.05 ERA against them in 7 starts. Back to Albies, over his last 39 AB’s he has a 254 wRC+ and a 1.353 OPS against RHP. He’s looked great since returning off the IL and I would trust him heavily in this potential Braves stack.
- Outfielder #1: Chris Taylor ($4,700 DK / $3,000 FD) – A sneaky play in here if you feel the Dodgers will get to Fiers. Taylor has looked good vs RHP, as he is .352 with a .407 ISO in the month of September against them. His .475 wOBA isn’t too shabby either and he could be a very contrarian play as opposed to the Mookie Betts and Cody Bellinger’s that might be put here.
- Outfielder #2: Marcell Ozuna ($5,000 DK / $4,300 FD) – The third and final Brave that will be in this article. This NL MVP candidate has looked great all season but in a large sample of his last 77 AB’s vs RHP, Ozuna has been super solid. He is slashing .358/.442/.672 and has a .462 wOBA. You can’t go wrong with most Braves tonight but Ozuna should be part of the fun.
Let’s Get Weird
- Martin Perez ($6,700 DK / $7,900 FD) – There might not be a pitcher with more outcomes than Martin Perez. He’s good for 7 earned runs one start, then none the next. You just hope to catch him at the right time. The matchup is there for this start. He’s going against the Orioles who have the worst wRC+ in baseball over the last month vs LHP and just made Nick Pivetta look good. He’s coming off a 6 inning shutout with 7 K performance vs the Yankees and you may want to ride the wave into this start.
- Jedd Gyorko ($3,700 DK / $2,700 FD) – Want to really shoot for value here? If Gyorko gets the start vs the lefty Kim, he could be in play. Over his last 16 AB’s vs left-handers, Gyorko has a 37% walk rate and has not struck out once. He also has maintained a .444 BA and .556 wOBA. This would be one guy that could make you look really weird setting in your lineup but could definitely pay off.
Make sure to follow me on twitter @DMendy02 and tag me if I helped you win some cash on this MLB DFS slate. Good luck!
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