To a degree, this is going to be an ever-evolving endeavor throughout the week. As you prepare for Sunday Night Football, there will always be specific plays you like and wish to target. NFL player props will stand out to you, and at the moment, you should capitalize on them. As news changes throughout the week, these markets will move as well, so lock in your player prop picks as you see them.
Each week, I will take a look at four NFL player prop targets on DraftKings for Sunday Night Football and provide some commentary about them. Please be aware though, that these are subject to market movements.
Week 11 SNF NFL Player Props
Joshua Dobbs Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns, +165
When it comes to player props, there is a lot to like about getting plus money. The fact that it is coming via a realistic target makes things that much better.
The Denver Broncos have struggled against opposing quarterbacks this season which makes it a great spot for Dobbs’ second start with Minnesota. It is clearly a step up in class with the Vikings compared to the Cardinals, but Dobbs did have three games with two touchdowns each while in Arizona. Dobbs also threw for two touchdowns in relief while making his debut with the Vikings when was essentially a stranger to the offense. Last week, Dobbs had another strong effort in his first start with Minnesota. He threw for 268 yards and one touchdown as he connected with his new weapons.
While it is still one more week until Justin Jefferson returns, Dobbs still has enough to work with. This is a matchup to exploit for Dobbs as there is a clear path to two touchdowns.
Russell Wilson Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns, +130
In nine games this season, Russell Wilson has failed to throw for multiple touchdowns just three times. Yardage has actually been down for Wilson over the last three weeks, but Denver has looked better than they did earlier in the season.
We have a reasonable player prop here with respect to the touchdowns, and it is the lean heading into Sunday There was clearly an adjustment period for Wilson going into Sean Payton’s offense, but that appears to have been figured out. Javonte Williams has found his groove after knee surgery which helps to balance the offense. From a weapon standpoint, Wilson has been connecting with Courtland Sutton. The expectation is that they will team up for a scoring play
Javonte Williams, Over 68.5 Rushing Yards, -120
The Minnesota Vikings do have a strong run defense, but this isn’t a crazy number for Javonte Williams’ player props. While Williams is still looking for his first touchdown of the season, which is wild, that isn’t our concern here.
What catches our attention is the quantity of work that Williams has received over the past three weeks. After carrying the ball 10 and 15 times in a two-week stretch while averaging over five yards a carry in each game, Williams then had games of 27 and 21 carries. That also gave Williams three games in which he surpassed Sunday’s total.
Williams looks more like the running back he was pre-injury. Most of all, it is very difficult to ignore the volume of work Williams is receiving as of late.
Courtland Sutton to Score a Touchdown, +170
Here’s another one of our player props with plus money, which is always attractive to target. In the case of Courtland Sutton, he has found the end zone in four straight weeks, so let’s make it number five.
For all of the reasons that we are targeting Russell Wilson, it makes to tie that into his favorite receiver. Wilson and Sutton have connected as of late and it has coincided with Denver’s recent success. Sutton played a large part in Denver’s upset victory in Buffalo with eight catches for 53 yards.
Most importantly, Sutton has seven touchdowns already this season so finding the end zone comes pretty naturally here.