The Home of Fantasy Sports Analysis

Top 100 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2021

The fantasy baseball season ends this coming Monday, but that doesn’t mean it’s too early to start game-planning for next season. At the end of any season, recency bias begins to creep in. This year, maybe more than any other, it’s important to try and tune that out. After such a shortened season the ups and downs of starting pitchers seem magnified. To create these starting pitcher rankings, I looked at a larger sample size of data to try and capture an accurate picture of who these players really are heading into 2021. If you have any questions about my rankings, hit me up on Twitter @devjake. 

What?! Your league isn’t using Fantrax? Inconceivable! Check out everything Fantrax has to offer and I’m sure you’ll come around to our way of thinking.

Top-100 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2021 Redraft Leagues

Notes on player rankings:

  • Shane Bieber is my new number one even though I like Jacob deGrom’s stuff a bit more. This really has more to do with age than anything, at 25 Bieber is a horse that has led all starters in innings pitched over the last two seasons combined. I worry that with deGrom’s increased velocity and age that injury could creep in.
  • There is probably nothing to worry about with Gerrit Cole as evidenced by his ERA now being under 3.00, his strikeout to walk ratio being elite, and his pedigree being impeccable. He has also closed out 2020 with three elite starts. He did struggle with his hard-hit rate, especially on his fastball, but I am not worried.
  • Walker Buehler and Jack Flaherty are lower on my list due to injury and inconsistency. Both of these players have immense ceilings, Buehler with his elite fastball and Flaherty with the devastating slider. Both represent tremendously high-risk high-reward profiles for next year as I expect their ADP to far outpace their performance from 2020. They will not be cheap, that being said there is still room for both to return immense value.
  • Zach Plesac will be a target of mine in every draft next year because I fully believe in his breakout. His slider was one of the best pitches in all of baseball and he never went fewer than six innings pitched in any of his eight starts. Plesac is elite.
  • I have Corbin Burnes at 23 thanks to his incredible season but there are a few regression red flags. His 2.6% HR/FB rate is unsustainably low as is his .268 BABIP albeit his stuff should allow his BABIP to remain low. However, he still walks more batters than I’d like him to and his track record as a successful starter is very limited. I’m buying in, but with caution.
  • Pablo Lopez is another player I will be targeting in drafts in 2021. Lopez has an incredible fastball/changeup combo to go along with a sinker, cutter, and curveball. He carried a 12.6% SwStr rate in 2020 along with a groundball rate of nearly 50%. This is a safe player with some ceiling to boot.
  • Don’t reach for Dustin May in 2021 because his strikeout rate still needs to improve for him to join the ranks of the elite. With that being said it wouldn’t surprise me at all of he came into camp throwing one of his current secondaries more often or using a new pitch. May has just 86.2 innings at the MLB level so far, but he induces ground balls, limits hard contact, and posts extremely strong ratios. He is one tweak away from top 15 status if he can learn to lean on his sinker a little less.
  • Don’t forget about Chris Sale. Sale should return sometime in late June or early July and given a clean bill of health he will dominate. His stuff is so good that before his surgery he was in the running for best starting pitcher in fantasy. I have faith.
  • Luis Severino and Noah Syndergaard, among other injured players, are also great ways to sneak some value on draft day provided you have the roster space to stash them. Both should play important roles on their respective teams in 2021.

If you have any questions about the list don’t hesitate to hit me up on Twitter @devjake. Thanks for reading!

RNKNameAGE
1Shane Bieber25
2Jacob deGrom32
3Gerrit Cole30
4Lucas Giolito26
5Yu Darvish34
6Aaron Nola27
7Trevor Bauer27
8Luis Castillo27
9Max Scherzer36
10Clayton Kershaw32
11Max Fried27
12Zac Gallen26
13Jack Flaherty25
14Brandon Woodruff27
15Blake Snell27
16Lance Lynn33
17Kenta Maeda32
18Dinelson Lamet28
19Zach Plesac25
20Walker Buehler26
21Sonny Gray30
22Sixto Sánchez22
23Corbin Burnes25
24Jesus Lúzardo23
25Dylan Bundy27
26Mike Clevinger29
27Zack Grienke37
28Tyler Glasnow27
29Hyun Jin Ryu33
30Aaron Civale25
31Dustin May23
32Patrick Corbin31
33Kyle Hendricks30
34José Berríos26
35Carlos Carrasco33
36Mike Soroka23
37Chris Sale31
38Pablo López24
39Framber Valdez26
40Marco Gonzales28
41Ian Anderson22
42Andrew Heaney29
43Chris Paddack24
44Tony Gonsolin26
45Julio Urias24
46Kevin Gausman29
47Zack Wheeler30
48Frankie Montas27
49Dallas Keuchel32
50Germán Márquez25
51MacKenzie Gore21
52Triston McKenzie23
53Elieser Hernandez25
54Noah Syndergaard28
55Zach Davies27
56Luis Severino26
57Eduardo Rodriguez27
58Tarik Skubal23
59Mitch Keller24
60David Price35
61Lance McCullers Jr.27
62Ryan Yarbrough28
63Stephen Strasburg32
64Dane Dunning25
65Michael Pineda31
66Adam Wainwright39
67Casey Mize23
68Michael Kopech24
69Spencer Howard24
70Masahiro Tanaka31
71Kwang Hyun Kim32
72Nathan Eovaldi30
73Matthew Boyd29
74Rich Hill40
75Jameson Taillon28
76Joe Musgrove27
77Griffin Canning24
78Jake Odorizzi30
79Charlie Morton36
80Danny Duffy31
81Jose Urquidy25
82Zach Eflin26
83Christian Javier23
84Randy Dobnak25
85Tyler Mahle25
86Dakota Hudson26
87Sandy Alcantara25
88Kris Bubic23
89Chris Bassitt31
90James Paxton31
91Spencer Turnbull28
92Brad Keller25
93J.A. Happ37
94Miles Mikolas32
95Caleb Smith29
96Taijuan Walker28
97Dylan Cease24
98Carlos Martinez29
99Sean Manaea28
100A.J. Puk25

 

If you’re on board with these starting pitcher rankings, you should also check out Jake’s Top 100 Starting Pitchers for Dynasty Leagues.


Fantrax was one of the fastest-growing fantasy sites of 2019 and we’re not letting our foot off the pedal now! With multi-team trades, designated commissioner/league managers, and drag/drop easy click methods, Fantrax is sure to excite the serious fantasy sports fan – sign up now for a free year at Fantrax.com.

9 Comments
  1. Rob says

    I was looking to see specifically where Civale and Pearson stood in the list for a keeper league. This helps. I noticed Civale’s string of bad WHIPS started when he eclipsed his innings pitched from last season. I will chalk it up to that

  2. dude says

    Surprised to not see Pearson and Singer among the top 100.

  3. Bryan Waagner says

    Where is David Peterson in this mix? Im trying to pick two between: David Peterson, Ian Anderson, Sixto Sanchez and Sandy Alcantara. Any of these will hold 14th and 15th round draft picks for 2021 season. Its a 14 team deep league with minor league slots and such

  4. Pissy McPissPants says

    Thanks for the rankings. Why so low on Glasnow?

    1. Jake Devereaux says

      Two pitches aren’t enough for me to be confident in him three times through the order.

  5. Al Holmes says

    I’m heavily into baseball, and of course Fantasy Baseball. These starting pitcher rankings for 2021 are excellent. I feel great because they validate a lot of my thoughts and rankings. Some notable examples of excellent rankings are the following…. Aaron Nola # 6. He was elite in 2018 but slipped a bit in 2019, but at 27 years old he was elite again this year. His K’s continue to grow.
    Zach Plesac at # 19. Your comments are spot on. Pablo Lopez and Framber Valdez at 38 & 39. Both young and all signs point to them being “for real”. Kevin Gausman (as you noted) was NOT a 1 year wonder. He has clearly turned the corner. And on the flip side, some of your lower rankings are good, in that others put them way too high. Tyler Glasnow is a strikeout machine, but those walks concern me. I would never take him top 10. And Tanaka at # 70 is accurate. As a Yankee fan I love what he has done for the team, but he is just not as good as most think. Great job. Love it.

    1. Jake Devereaux says

      Thanks so much for the kind words, much appreciated!

  6. E says

    No MadBum in top 100?

  7. SMH says

    WALKER BUEHLER AT 20 ON A “KEEPER/DYNASTY” LIST IS INEXCUSABLE. IM APPALLED.

Leave A Reply

Your email address will not be published.