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2023 ROS Starting Pitching Rankings

MLB may have just put the finishing touches on a busy trade deadline, but the hot stoves in fantasy circles are just starting to heat up. As the calendar turns to August, we’ve officially entered the trading season in most fantasy leagues.  Contenders are attempting to fortify weaknesses on their rosters while those who have fallen out of contention look towards a brighter, more hopeful future. In the hopes of helping you maximize your trade values, we’ve put together starting pitcher rankings for the rest of the season. A successful manager is a confident manager, so get yourself prepared to win those trades!

More great fantasy baseball advice and analysis: Waiver Wire & FAAB Recommendations | Daily MLB Injury Report | MLB DFS Picks | Line-up Analysis | Dynasty Rankings and Strategy | MLB Bullpen Updates | MLB Player Props | Prospect Rankings & Analysis | Fantasy Baseball Risers and Fallers

About these rankings:

Ranking pitchers is hard! Especially with all the injuries and promotions/demotions that we have seen this season. So when we thought about what info to use in these rankings, three crucial pieces of information seemed to be of the most importance:

  1. How good have they been thus far and what can you expect in the future?
  2. How good are they right now?
  3. Who will they be playing for the rest of the season?

To answer number 1, we utilized the Auction Calculator tool on Fangraphs. That allows us to establish a baseline value for the pitchers in our starting pitching ranks. Using the calculator’s default setting (standard 5×5, standard rosters), we ran two sets of projections:

  • 2023 year-to-date (YTD) stats, to tell us how each player has performed thus far, and

  • 2023 rest of season (ROS) using Derek Carty’s The Bat X projection system to give us an idea of how that player will perform moving forward

These numbers are expressed in a dollar amount, based on an auction budget of $260. The higher the dollar value, the more valuable the player.

For our second piece of info, we turned to Eno Sarris, fantasy baseball man-about-town, and all-around good guy. His handy model, Stuff+ has become a widely-used metric in the industry and is available on Fangraphs as well.  Their amazing Leaderboards tool, allowed us to pull our Top 100’s numbers to get a sense of exactly how their pitches were performing at the moment.

And finally, a strength of schedule tool found here, helped us to identify which teams had the toughest (and easiest!) roads ahead of them. Similarly to the auction value mentioned before, the higher the Strength of Schedule (SOS) number, the tougher the schedule.

The players are ranked by number and, maybe even more importantly, by tier. Since so many of your roster decisions are league type- and scoring-dependent, use the tiers as a mile marker when valuing a potential trade target.

We think it’s best to exclude players from our rest of season starting pitching rankings who are currently injured, so you won’t find Clayton Kershaw, Nestor Cortes, Shane Bieber, along with some others, here. Once they are back and healthy we’ll insert them where appropriate.

We did, however, keep a couple of guys who are currently in the minors on an assumed Innings Pitched break as they seemed too valuable and relevant to drop totally off the list.

Thanks you for stopping by! If you have any thoughts, suggestions, or ideas, or just want to drop a virtual high-five, send a note to [email protected] and/or give a follow on Twitter @LDeePee

2023 ROS Starting Pitcher Rankings

The starting pitcher rankings below are based on traditional 5 X 5 roto scoring. If you would like to get a color coded list that provides a quick look evaluation feel free to grab this downloadable PDF.

RnkTierPlayerSTUFF+$$ (YTD)$$ (ROS)SOS
1A+Spencer Strider126$20.20$16.5024
2A Gerritt Cole121$24.40$9.2014
3ACorbin Burnes123$16.70$9.2025
4AShane McClanahan112$14.00$7.509
5AShohei Ohtani121$17.20$11.705
6AKevin Gausman109$16.60$10.7016
7BZack Wheeler109$10.80$14.0023
8BTyler Glasnow120$8.30$10.109
9BFramber Valdez108$11.60$6.6018
10BLuis Castillo98$22.00$9.9013
11BBlake Snell108$11.80$5.2022
12BZac Gallen105$18.60$5.9010
13BAaron Nola102$5.00$13.0023
14BJoe Musgrove106$12.60$6.4022
15BSandy Alcantara111-$10.40$7.104
16BGeorge Kirby104$13.40$6.7013
17BLogan Webb101$12.20$5.302
18BJesus Luzardo102$9.70$3.804
19BJoe Ryan100$11.10$6.0028
20BYu Darvish111-$4.30$4.7022
21BLogan Gilbert101$11.80$2.5013
22CJustin Verlander106$6.00$10.2018
23CHunter Brown106-$3.40$1.3018
24CZach Eflin97$17.10$7.509
25CMax Scherzer101$4.80$9.8015
26CCarlos Rodon106$0.00$8.3014
27CFreddy Peralta106-$3.20$7.0025
28CKyle Bradish123$6.30-$0.7011
29CDylan Cease113-$8.60$2.9030
30CKodai Senga97$6.90$1.5012
31CEury Perez110$7.50$1.004
32CJulio Urias105-$4.10$5.4026
33CBobby Miller122-$1.10$1.6026
34CCristian Javier98-$1.00$3.1018
35CSonny Gray103-$0.60$2.5028
36DPablo Lopez100$3.50$7.0028
37DNathan Eovaldi102$24.20$1.3015
38DCharlie Morton108-$3.70$0.2024
39DBryan Woo102-$9.10$1.7013
40DBryce Miller119$7.70$0.1013
41DLance Lynn94-$29.40$3.8026
42DKenta Maeda104-$6.40$2.3028
43DTarik Skubal97N/A$2.6019
44DJames Paxton90$7.80-$0.703
45DGrayson Rodriguez108-$22.00$1.5011
46DJustin Steele100$15.80$0.3029
47EMitch Keller106$3.70-$3.4021
48EAaron Civale106$10.50-$0.709
49EJose Berrios100$7.10$3.2016
50ETanner Bibee98$6.20$2.806
51EReid Detmers104-$8.50$1.505
52ESeth Lugo100$0.70-$1.4022
53EClarke Schmidt106-$7.30-$2.1014
54EMarcus Stroman102$2.00-$0.1029
55EBrayan Bello90$1.80-$3.003
56EJ.P. France104$4.10-$2.5018
57EJon Gray96-$0.70-$1.2015
58EJordan Montgomerey98$0.70$0.2015
59EChris Bassitt91$1.60$3.9016
60EAlex Cobb89-$0.70$0.402
61ELucas Giolito94$0.40$2.205
62EYusei Kikuchi108$0.40-$0.5016
63EEduardo Rodriguez85$12.30$1.8019
64ETaj Bradley111-$13.20$2.309
65FBraxton Garrett88$0.40$0.004
66FKutter Crawford106$3.30-$3.603
67FAndrew Abbott87$12.00-$1.7027
68FAndrew Heaney102-$9.10-$0.3015
69FJP Sears93$1.50-$1.408
70FMerrill Kelly95$10.60-$2.1010
71FBailey Ober82$11.00$2.1028
72FJack Flaherty93-$18.80-$3.2011
73FMichael Kopech110-$15.20-$3.8030
74FEmmett Sheehan101-$9.50-$2.5026
75FGavin Williams103-$6.40-$1.806
76FMichael Lorenzen102$4.10-$4.6019
77GMackenzie Gore102-$12.60-$4.707
78GTony Gonsolin97-$1.40$0.3026
79GEdward Cabrera102-$12.10-$1.404
80GPatrick Sandoval92-$10.90-$0.405
81GReese Olson108-$6.40-$2.0019
82GJose Quintana79N/A-$3.3012
83GNick Pivetta118$5.30-$1.203
84HTyler Wells93$10.90$3.3011
85HGraham Ashcraft126-$24.40-$7.9027
86HGarrett Whitlock82-$9.00-$0.603
87HBryce Elder76$5.70-$3.6024
88HJohan Oviedo94-$15.00-$6.1021
89HKyle Hendricks59$2.40-$3.5029
90HJameson Taillon99-$16.30-$1.9029
91HTaijuan Walker92$1.60-$2.7023
93HDean Kremer99-$8.20-$3.9011
94IDomingo German92$1.40$1.4014
95IAlex Wood90-$12.40-$5.702
96ISean Manaea94-$12.90$1.602
97IDane Dunning82$4.30-$3.1015
98IAlek Manoah89-$33.40-$0.5016
99ILuis Severino104-$33.20-$1.1014
100ISteven Matz95-$12.80$0.3020
101ILuis Medina108-$18.30-$7.008

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