NBA DFS Plays for Monday, 1/13: Drum on the Whiteside
Our last article was really strange. We had a few unfortunate duds but we also had some players that had their best lines of the season. That made it very frustrating for me in terms of profits but the process was correct on our end. Let’s clean that up a little and get into our 1/13 NBA DFS plays of the day!
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1/13 NBA DFS Point Guards
Chris Paul, OKC at MIN
DK ($6,600) FD ($6,900)
I truly don’t understand these price tags. Paul has returned to his All-Star form this season and he’s not being priced like it. Not only has he scored at least 35 DraftKings points in 17 of his last 19 games, Paul is also averaging 39.4 fantasy points per game in that span. That’s all you can hope for from a player below $7,000 and we can’t overlook the matchup against a Minnesota team who ranks 25th in total defense. In his last game against the T’Wolves, CP3 had 50 DraftKings points in one of his best games of the year.
Lonzo Ball, NOP at DET
DK ($6,900) FD ($6,300)
Ball has been an absolute stud since being reinserted into the starting lineup. Over his last seven games played, Ball is averaging 42.5 DK points per game across 36 minutes of action. While he’s definitely been benefiting with Jrue Holiday’s absence, Ball was still balling out even when he was healthy. That form makes this $6,300 price tag on FanDuel mind-boggling and we really love him against a 23rd-ranked Detroit defense as well.
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1/13 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
Terry Rozier, CHA at POR
DK ($7,100) FD ($6,700)
Rozier is in the best stretch of his career right now. Scoring at least 38 DraftKings points in five-straight games is impressive on its own, but he’s also averaging 27.4 points, 3.6 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 1.2 steals per game in that span. What we really like is that Rozier is averaging 39.6 minutes and 18.4 shots per game in that span while leading the team in usage. That’s bad news for a defensively inept backcourt like this, with Portland owning a 22nd OPRK against opposing guards this season.
Bruce Brown, DET vs. NOP
DK ($6,100) FD ($4,900)
While this DraftKings price is definitely appropriate, this FanDuel price is silly. The simple fact is, Brown has developed into the Pistons starting point guard and their primary ball-handler. That’s truly evident when you see that he’s averaging 29.5 FanDuel points per game across 31.6 minutes of action over his last nine fixtures. That’s about 6X value at this dirt-cheap price tag and it makes him one of the best plays of the day over at FanDuel. The matchup is spectacular too, with the Pelicans sitting 25th in defensive efficiency and 28th in points allowed.
1/13 NBA DFS Small Forwards
Tobias Harris, PHI at IND
DK ($6,600) FD ($6,700)
With Joel Embiid out for at least two weeks, Harris should become the focal point of the offense. That’s certainly been the case thus far, leading Philly with a 26 percent usage rate when Embiid is off the floor. He’s also averaging nearly 20 shots a game in every game without the big man and that’s awesome with him needing to rebound more as well. Not to mention, Harris has at least 30 DK points in four-straight coming into this matchup.
Harrison Barnes, SAC vs. ORL
DK ($5,000) FD ($4,500)
While it’s tough to recommend a guy like Barnes, these price tags are just too cheap. We’re talking about a guy who’s averaging 27 DK points per game which alone is 5.4X value. That’s hard to find and it doesn’t even take into consideration that Sacramento is without Marvin Bagley III and Richaun Holmes. That’s why Barnes has at least 27 DraftKings points in three of his last four games, averaging 12.3 shots and 36 minutes played in those three fixtures. Any guy with that sort of role sitting in the $5,000-range is definitely in punt-play consideration.
1/13 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Al Horford, PHI at IND
DK ($6,800) FD ($6,200)
Horford is the direct beneficiary to Embiid being out of the lineup. It forced Horford into the center slot and makes him a much bigger part of the offense. In nine games without Embiid this season, Horford is averaging 37 DraftKings points per game. That’s pretty much the same total on FanDuel, which would equate to 6X value at this incredibly low price. We’re really not worried about Indiana either, with the Pacers surrendering the most fantasy points in the league to opposing centers this season,
Nemanja Bjelica, SAC vs. ORL
DK ($5,500) FD ($4,900)
The aforementioned injuries to Bagley and Holmes have really opened up things for Bjelica. In the two games without those two, Nemanja is averaging 36.8 DK points per game across 39 minutes of action. That’s an absurd workload and even better fantasy production. The simple fact is, this club is running out of big men and it’s forcing Bjelica to post career-highs in playing time and rebounds. That’s stellar news for a sharpshooter like this and he’s actually fortunate to face an Orlando defense without their stud power forward, Jonathan Isaac.
1/13 NBA DFS Centers
Andre Drummond, DET vs. NOP
DK ($10,300) FD ($10,500)
We’ve had a ton of great value throughout this article, so, let’s give you a couple of studs at center. An ejection in his most recent game may limit the ownership for a guy like Drummond but that would be silly with his crazy high upside here. With Blake Griffin sidelined, Drummond is posting a 24 percent usage rate while averaging 1.4 DK points per minute. That usage may not sound like anything special but it’s monstrous from a guy who usually produces with almost no usage. In fact, Drummond is averaging 50 fantasy points per game without BG suiting up. The matchup might be the best part of this play though, with the Pelicans sitting 28th in total defense and seventh in pace while surrendering the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing centers. That doesn’t even take into consideration that they might be without their only good defensive big, with Derrick Favors questionable.
Hassan Whiteside, POR vs, CHA
DK ($8,200) FD ($10,000)
This is one of the rare times where we prefer a DraftKings price to a FanDuel one. While Whiteside has earned every bit of that FD price, this DK price makes no sense at all. What makes him so attractive today is this matchup against the Hornets though, with Charlotte surrendering the second-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. That’s truly horrifying against a guy who’s averaging 16.3 points, 15.2 rebounds and 3.6 blocks per game over his last 22 games played.
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