To a degree, this is going to be an ever-evolving endeavor throughout the week. As you prepare for Sunday Night Football, there will always be specific plays you like and wish to target. NFL player props will stand out to you, and at the moment, you should capitalize on them. As news changes throughout the week, these markets will move as well, so lock in your player prop picks as you see them.
Each week, I will take a look at four NFL player prop targets on DraftKings for Sunday Night Football and provide some commentary about them. Please be aware though, that these are subject to market movements.
NFL Player Props
Zach Wilson, Over .5 Interceptions (-150)
The odds are admittedly not great on this one when looking at player props, but unfortunately, it suits Zach Wilson. Looking at props surrounding the embattled quarterback is difficult this week for a multitude of reasons.
It is clear that Wilson is still not ready to be a true quarterback who can be trusted. The New York Jets will have to rely on their running game, but to this point that hasn’t worked either. New York falls behind quickly and it is hard to play catch up on the ground. Additionally, their running backs are simply not having success to his point. Heading into Week 4, we know that the Jets are looking to establish the run game. Aside from the Jets likely falling behind, that will cut into Wilson’s volume.
Notice that I went with volume and not production, but both are tough to project in what will be a tough matchup. To be honest though, at this point, you could make a case for Wilson to hit both the over and the under. A lot of that is dependent upon how well the run game is established. We do know that Wilson will have to put the ball in the air at some point, and betting on him to throw an interception does not feel that groundbreaking. Despite not throwing one this week, he has four in two games.
Patrick Mahomes, Over 36.5 Pass Attempts (+100)
The Kansas City Chiefs are built around Patrick Mahomes. With that out of the way, I’m done stating the obvious. It is applicable here though as that means Mahomes is going to be busy on Sunday.
In two of his three games this season, Mahomes has gone over 36.5 pass attempts. The lone miss was last week, and a lot of that is due to the fact that he completed 24 of his 33 pass attempts. Mahomes is going to take to the air early and often, and the Jets defense should provide enough resistance that some of those will fall incomplete. Ultimately, that just leads to more pass attempts. Last year. Mahomes averaged 38 per game, and that puts him over his player prop for this week.
Garrett Wilson, Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Admittedly, this sounds pretty crazy. Zach Wilson has been bad, and Garrett Wilson can’t eclipse his player props without the help of his quarterback.
So far this season, that has only happened once in three games and it came via one big play. But if the Jets do look to move the ball through the air, and they have to, right, then it would go to their stud receiver. Wilson has the ability to make things happen when the ball is in his hands, and New York has to try and save their season.
This is not an incredibly large number for Wilson to surpass, and all he needs is one or two plays to make that happen. With the Jets likely going to be trailing all evening, they will be forced to take it to the air, and that will lead to good things for their star receiver.
Travis Kelce, Over 6.5 Receptions (-110)
In case it hasn’t been made clear, Travis Kelce will be playing on Sunday. Aside from all of the social media buzz around Kelce, he also happens to be a pretty good football player.
Last week, Kelce caught seven passes for 69 yards, and the volume should not come as a surprise. He is Mahomes’ favorite target, and there is no questioning his place in the Kansas City offense. Kelce is simply head and shoulders above the other Chiefs’ receiving options.
With that being said, the Jets are going to place Sauce Gardner, among others, on Kelce as that will be the focus of their defensive game plan. Regardless of that, Kelce is simply too good to be completely shut down. While the volume will be there, the yardage might not be so this is my preferred angle.