The hope is that everyone continues to be profitable playing NFL DFS. Regardless, that is now in the past and we have a new week of action in front of us. My intention is to help you make Week 4 of NFL DFS a week to remember as you finish in the green. With that being said, let us jump right into my top Week 4 NFL DFS picks.
Each week, I will take a look at one option at each position that can be a nice piece in your lineup. Additionally, I will provide one stud and one value option to target along with one expected bust.
NFL Week 4 DFS Picks
Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos, $5,800
To say that the Broncos need to flush out last week’s performance would be an understatement. Despite what was a game to forget for Denver, Russell Wilson still finished with 18 DraftKings points. The veteran broke the 300-yard mark for the second straight week, with 306 yards while throwing for a touchdown.
This week, Wilson gets a soft landing spot against a Chicago Bears team that is struggling against opposing quarterbacks. The Bears are 30th in the NFL with 285.7 passing yards allowed per game which means Wilson should break the 300-yard mark for the third straight game. To take things further, Chicago is last with a 60% third down conversion rate. Considering the Bears are allowing 35.3 points per game, Wilson should find the end zone multiple times.
Alexander Mattison, Minnesota Vikings, $5,800
After Alexander Mattison gained 62 yards in the first two weeks, Minnesota went out and traded for Cam Akers. The latter was inactive in Week 3 while the incumbent bounced back.
Mattison took advantage of a good matchup against the Chargers are gained 93 yards on 20 carries while also catching five passes for another 32 yards. With that being the case, there is no reason for the Vikings not to go back to Mattison as they look for their first victory of the season.
After Kenneth Walker ran all over the Panthers last week for 97 yards and two touchdowns, Mattison is up next to take advantage of Carolina. Through the first three weeks of the season, opposing running backs are averaging 136.7 yards per game on the ground. This is the perfect situation for Mattison to break the century mark for the first time this season while also finding the end zone for the first time.
Jakobi Meyers, Las Vegas Raiders, $5,500
There are more than enough targets in the Raiders offense for Jakobi Meyers and Davante Adams. Meyers’ concussion is clearly behind him after he caught seven of 12 targets for 85 yards on Sunday. That came on the heels of a Week 1 performance in which he caught nine passes for 81 yards and two touchdowns in his debut with the Raiders.
Regardless of who is under center for the Raiders on Sunday, that trend should continue for Meyers. It is hard not to include him as one of my Week 4 DFS picks when seeing that the Chargers have allowed 337 passing yards per game. So far this season, that is ranked last in the league, and it is clear that Meyers will be a high-volume target.
George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers, $5,100
When making my Week 4 DFS picks, I usually don’t spend this much cap space on a tight end. So far this season though, we have not seen many sure things at the position, and this is not truly cost-prohibitive.
After catching three passes in each of the first two weeks, we saw Kittle’s role expand on Thursday. The veteran was targeted nine times and he turned that into seven receptions for 90 yards. With Brandon Aiyuk limited in practice and both Deebo Samuel and Juwan Jennings yet to practice this week, the volume should be there for Kittle once again. I also like Kittle to find the end zone for the first time this season.
Indianapolis Colts, $2,900
I will be the first to admit that there is nothing really exciting here. But, the Colts are under $3k (barely) and that helps from a lineup construction standpoint. Through the first three games, they are averaging about 10 DraftKings points per game which could fit nicely into with other strong pieces.
With one interception, four fumble recoveries, and 12 sacks, they have also shown the ability to make something happen. Additionally, while their opponent (the Los Angeles Rams) has had some success this season, they aren’t a truly imposing defense that could light up the scoreboard.
Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals, $7,800
Through two weeks of action, 10 receptions for 70 yards is not going to cut it. I don’t care where you were drafted, that is not production that will get you a repeat invitation to a fantasy football starting lineup. But when your name is Ja’Marr Chase and you were one of the first players chosen in the draft, you operate under different rules.
While Joe Burrow is still not 100%, everything seemed to work just fine for Chase on Monday night against the Rams. He was targeted 15 times and finished with 12 receptions for 141 yards. Now, Chase just needs to keep that up while also finding the end zone for the first time. The good news is that he faces a Tennessee team that struggles against opposing wide receivers from a fantasy perspective. So far this season, the Titans rank 28th in the league with 275.3 passing yards allowed.
Roschon Johnson, Chicago Bears, $4,900
Sometimes you just have to eat some chalk. In the case of Roschon Johnson, I am comfortable getting right in line.
By this point, everyone knows what the Miami running backs were able to do against Denver last week, and now it is Johnson’s turn. The Bears’ coaching staff continues to talk up Johnson from a volume and skill perspective, and this will be his week to take advantage of that.
On 17 carries, Johnson is averaging 5.3 yards per carry while catching 10 of 11 targets for 56 yards. It is a solid, but slow, beginning to his NFL career. With the Bears already winless, there is no reason not to let the rookie show what he can do, and he isn’t expected to meet any resistance.
Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans, $7,000
Perhaps this is the end of the road for Derrick Henry? We know that the Titans’ offense has its share of issues and that doesn’t exactly put the veteran in the best position. Through the first three games of the season, he is averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. In a good matchup against the Chargers, he only managed to gain 80 yards on 25 carries, and in the other two games, he combined for 83 yards on 26 carries.
Henry looked brutal last week gaining just 20 yards on 11 carries, and I need to see him turn back the clock before feeling comfortable enough to invest. Additionally, it is also a tough matchup this week against the Bengals and I’m not sure that game flow will be his friend.