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Dynasty Baseball Buys and Sells: Webb of Lies

This week’s edition of Dynasty Baseball Buys features an underrated prospect gaining a lot of steam and a starting pitcher who is due for a turnaround. The Dynasty Baseball Sells consist of a top prospect struggling mightily and an elite starting pitcher due for a decline. In case you missed it, you should also check out last week’s edition of Dynasty Baseball Buys and Sells.

Dynasty Baseball Buys

Deyvison De Los Santos, 1B, Arizona Diamondbacks

You won’t find De Los Santos on any of the most highly regarded preseason top-100 prospect rankings. Although there’s a very good chance he will be popping up on all of their midseason updates. De Los Santos drew a lot of attention in 2022, when he slashed .306/.348/.499 with 22 homers and 106 RBI. He reached Double-A that season as a 19-year-old. However, last season he slashed just .254/.297/.431 and remained in Double-A the entire year. 

This season he has turned things around in a big way. He is slashing a ridiculous .372/.426/.696 with 14 homers and 37 RBI in 38 games. He leads the minor leagues in home runs. De Los Santos was just promoted to Triple-A on Tuesday, so now he’s just one call away from making his major league debut. He is just 20 years old and could be called up later this summer. It’s time to pounce on De Los Santos in your dynasty league as I’m sure he will be getting scooped up in most of them over the next several weeks. 

Hunter Brown, SP, Houston Astros

Brown has had a disastrous season. Entering Wednesday, he had a 7.71 ERA and 1.93 WHIP. Among all pitchers with at least 30 innings, he has the third-highest ERA. He has allowed 51 hits and 21 walks in 37.1 innings. In his first 8 starts this season, he’s only had one quality start. Many dynasty owners have already cut bait with Brown and many are on their last straw with him. 

However, his advanced stats say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers this season. His BABIP is .398, which is absurdly high and will obviously drop over the course of the season. He’s putting up career lows in exit velocity, barrel percentage, and hard-hit percentage. His xFIP is currently 4.08, which is a whopping 3.63 run difference from his actual ERA. His SIERA is 4.23 and his xERA is 4.62. When you look at those numbers, you get a glimpse of just how unlucky he has been this season. He’s a good bet to turn things around and is a solid dynasty baseball buy.

Dynasty Baseball Sells

Adael Amador, 2B, Colorado Rockies

Amador was a preseason consensus top-40 prospect according to Baseball America, Baseball Prospectus and He is ranked the number one prospect in the Colorado Rockies minor league system. He reached Double-A last season at just 20 years old. Across three minor league levels last season, Amador slashed .287/.380/.495 with 12 homers and 15 stolen bases in 275 at-bats. 

This season he has taken a huge step backward. He is currently slashing just .139/.308/.174 in 143 plate appearances. Amador has only two extra-base hits this year, a home run and a double. He is also striking out at the highest clip of his career. Things have gotten even worse in the month of May, where he is slashing .115/.239/.164. He hasn’t recorded a multi-hit game since April 26th. There are definitely some concerning trends happening with Amador this season. I would consider him a dynasty baseball sell at this point. 

Logan Webb, SP, San Francisco Giants

Webb is often viewed as one of the elite arms in fantasy baseball. He finished second in the National League Cy Young vote last season. Webb has finished each of the last three seasons with under a 3.30 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. He has averaged over 30 starts each of the last three seasons. He’s been about as solid of a starting pitcher as you can find over the last few years.

Webb’s stats on the surface look pretty good this year. He currently has a 3.03 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Although there are some signs of a regression in the future. His xERA stands at 4.84. Webb is averaging a career-low 7.3 K/9 and his most walks since 2020. He’s also averaging career highs in exit velocity, barrel percentage and hard hit percentage. I think now is a good time to sell Webb in dynasty leagues.

For more fantasy and dynasty content, you can follow me on X @dynastyinfo411 and Instagram @dynastyinfo411

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