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Win Your PPR League By Targeting RBs Who Catch 50+ Passes

Targeting pass-catching running backs in Fantasy Football, especially in points-per-reception leagues (PPR), is playing smart. Typical PPR Fantasy scoring is .1 per rushing yard (10 yards = 1 point), a point per reception, and then .1 points per receiving yard. So with that, a running back who hits both of those categories consistently has a safer floor and higher ceiling for fantasy scoring.

For an example on capitalized balanced opportunity, Aaron Jones rushed the ball 213 times in 2022 and also saw 72 targets which resulted in top-12 fantasy points per game (PPG). Some running backs are known primarily for their pass-catching abilities and the tie to high fantasy scoring. For another example, Austin Ekeler has been a top-two running back in Fantasy PPG the last two seasons, guided by 107 and 70 receptions.

There are tons of other variables when it comes to scoring fantasy points for running backs such as touchdowns, total rushing yards, offensive line, team scheme, offense quality, running back ability, total touches, etc. but pass-catching running backs are great top targets for fantasy football. Let’s take a look across the last five seasons at running backs who caught 50+ passes and how that translated to fantasy football before previewing who can hit that mark in 2023.

**All scoring is PPR**

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2018-2022: 50+ Reception Running Backs

SeasonGmsRBRush AttsRush YdsRush TDRecsTgtsRec YdsRec TDOverall RnkPTS/G
202217Austin Ekeler204915131071277225121.9
202217Christian McCaffrey24411398851087415221.0
202216Leonard Fournette1896683738352331214.2
202217Rhamondre Stevenson2101040569884211714.7
202215Joe Mixon2128267607544121016.0
202217Aaron Jones2131121259723955914.6
202216Saquon Barkley29513121057763380517.8
202215Alvin Kamara2238972577749021614.1
202217Jerick McKinnon722911567151292011.5
202217Josh Jacobs34016531253644000319.3
202217Rachaad White129481150582902368.2
202117Najee Harris3071200774944673317.7
202116Austin Ekeler2069111270946478221.5
202114Leonard Fournette180812869844542618.3
202113D'Andre Swift1516175627845221516.1
202115Josh Jacobs2178729546434801215.1
202116Cordarrelle Patterson153618652695485914.7
202115Aaron Jones1717994526539161115.3
202015Alvin Kamara18793216831077565125.2
202016J.D. McKissic8536518011058921712.0
202016Nyheim Hines893803637648241512.1
202015Mike Davis1656426597037321213.8
202015David Montgomery2471070854684382417.7
202010Austin Ekeler1165301546540322616.5
202016Chase Edmonds974481536740242510.5
202015Ezekiel Elliott244979652713382914.9
201916Christian McCaffrey28713871511614210054129.5
201916Austin Ekeler1325573921089938419.3
201914Alvin Kamara171797581975331917.8
201916Tarik Cohen6421307910445632710.2
201915Leonard Fournette26511523761005220717.3
201915James White672631729564551813.3
201915Le'Veon Bell2457893667846111614.3
201914Devonta Freeman1846562597041042014.1
201916Ezekiel Elliott30113571254714202319.5
201914Dalvin Cook25011351353635190620.9
201913Saquon Barkley21710036527343821018.8
201916Miles Sanders1798183506350931513.7
201914Kenyan Drake1708178506834501715.3
201816Christian McCaffrey219109871071248676224.1
201816Saquon Barkley261130711911217214124.1
201816James White944255871237517717.3
201815Alvin Kamara19488314811057094423.6
201815Ezekiel Elliott3041434677955673521.9
201816Tarik Cohen994443719172551114.6
201816Jalen Richard55259168816070299.8
201816Nyheim Hines853142638142522710.1
201814Theo Riddick40171061743840438.3
201814Todd Gurley25612511759815804326.6
201816Dion Lewis1555171596740012810.0
201813James Conner2159701255714971621.5
201814T.J. Yeldon1044141557848742212.4
201816Kenyan Drake1205354537347751412.9
201812Melvin Gordon1758851050664904823.0
201816David Johnson258940750764463915.4
AVERAGES1216.6

Conclusions:

  • 55 running back sample size
  • The average Fantasy Football position finish was 12
    • 47/55 running backs finished within the Top 24 for the position in Fantasy (85.45%)
    • 35/55 running backs finished within the Top 12 for the position in Fantasy (63.63%)
    • 16/55 running backs finished Top 5 for the position in Fantasy (29.09%)
  • The average Fantasy PPG scored was 16.62 points
    • 16.62 would have been RB10 in Fantasy PPG in 2022
    • 31/55 averaged 15+ fantasy PPG (56.36%)
    • 18/55 averaged 18+ fantasy PPG (32.72%)
    • 13/55 averaged 20+ Fantasy PPG (23.63%)
  • The data definitely has outliers and ranges across the board, but it is very evident that 50+ receptions translates to fantasy football success.

Which RBs Can Hit 50+ Receptions in 2023?

Looking ahead to the next season, we can sort running backs who can hit 50+ receptions into three different categories: Locks, Good Chance, and Hot Takes. The “Locks” will be the players I am most confident in for this category due to historical statistics, skillsets, and opportunity. The “Good Chance” players will be those I feel have historical statistics, skillset, and/or opportunity but there is both the case for and against them hitting this 50+ reception mark. These players should hit it, but there is the possibility they do not. The “Hot Takes” will be players I believe could hit this mark but would not be predicted by consensus to do so.

Locks:

  • Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers
  • Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers
  • Saquon Barkley, New York Giants

Good Chance:

  • Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers
  • Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons
  • Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots
  • Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals
  • Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders
  • Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions
  • Alvin Kamara (without suspension), New Orleans Saints
  • Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Jerick McKinnon, Kansas City Chiefs
  • Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers

Hot Takes:

  • D’Andre Swift, Philadelphia Eagles
  • Antonio Gibson, Washington Commanders
  • James Conner, Arizona Cardinals
  • Miles Sanders, Carolina Panthers
  • Leonard Fournette, Free Agent

Looking historically at how catching 50+ receptions translates to Fantasy Football production, it is clear that we should target running backs with this opportunity in 2023. Volume is king when it comes to running backs in fantasy football, and when you can score a point plus the yardage for receiving stats that is huge for fantasy scoring. The above list of players is one to take a closer look at in terms of their opportunity to fit this category and to be impact players in your leagues this year.

For more great rankings and analysis, make sure to check out our 2023 Fantasy Football Draft Kit!

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