NBA DFS Plays for Wednesday, 12/11: Jingles and Buddy the Elf
After killing our picks last week, Monday was slightly disappointing. Players like Andre Drummond and Blake Griffin really let us down but when have the Pistons ever lived up to expectations? That poor performance on my part has me working extra hard here today, so, let’s get into our 12/11 NBA DFS picks!
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12/11 NBA DFS Point Guards
Kyle Lowry, TOR vs. LAC
DK ($7,100) FD ($8,000)
Lowry has been too good to be priced this cheaply. The biggest reason we like him is because of his workload, playing at least 38 minutes in all four games since his return from injury while ranking second in the NBA with 37.3 minutes played per game. That’s truly absurd and it’s led to a beautiful fantasy floor. In fact, Lowry has scored at least 32 DK points in all 11 of the healthy games he’s played while averaging over 39 fantasy points per outing. Not to mention, there’s a chance Fred VanVleet won’t suit up here either, only adding to Lowry’s value.
Terry Rozier, CHA at BRK
DK ($7,100) FD ($7,300)
Rozier has been in and out of my articles all season long and we have to love him whenever he gets a good matchup. That’s just the case here, with Brooklyn surrendering the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing PGs this season. We have to love that for a player like Rozier, with the Charlotte guard averaging 32 DK points per game across his last 11 outings which is just above his season average. We actually recommended Rozier in the same matchup last week and he rewarded us with 37.5 DK points.
12/11 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
Spencer Dinwiddie, BRK vs. CHA
DK ($8,100) FD ($8,000)
The Dinwiddie train is coming to a halt soon with Kyrie Irving expected to return at some point but we need to ride him as long as Irving remains out. The reason for that is because Dinwiddie has a usage rate approaching 40 percent with Irving and Caris LeVert off the floor. That has led to him scoring at least 35 fantasy points in all 12 starts he’s made, averaging 42 DK points per game in that span. That’s truly absurd and it should make him a $9,000 player on each site. The matchup against Charlotte is the icing on the cake, with the Hornets sitting 27th in defensive efficiency.
Buddy Hield, SAC vs. OKC
DK ($7,100) FD ($7,500)
Hield is quietly in the best stretch of his career and it’s really no surprise that he’s doing it with De’Aaron Fox and Marvin Bagley sidelined. Not only does he have at least 34 DK points in eight-straight games, Hield is also averaging 40 fantasy points per game in that span. That’s hard to believe when looking at these price tags and it’s extremely encouraging that he’s averaging 38 minutes and 22 shots a game in that eight-game span too.
12/11 NBA DFS Small Forwards
Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL vs. NOP
DK ($11,000) FD ($12,000)
I almost never do this but Giannis is going to be hard to fade in a matchup like this. Let’s start with that opponent, facing a Pelicans team who sits 29th in both points allowed and defensive efficiency. That atrocious defense is horrifying news against a beast like this, with Antetokounmpo scoring at least 41 DK points in all 24 games played this season while averaging nearly 60 fantasy points per game. That’s second only to James Harden and we also like the fact that New Orleans and Milwaukee both rank Top-5 in pace, guaranteeing more opportunities for Giannis. If this game stays close, Antetokounmpo has legitimate 75-point upside.
Joe Ingles, UTA at MIN
DK ($5,300) FD ($5,000)
Ingles found his way into our article on Monday and it’s strange just how cheap FanDuel is keeping his price. The thing that’s changed his game is the injury to Mike Conley. That has forced him into ball-handling duties, leading to him scoring at least 31 DK points in three of his last four games. That’s monstrous from a player in this price range and he should continue to rack up the assists with Conley out. We love the matchup too, with Minnesota sitting fourth in pace and 28th in defensive efficiency.
12/11 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Kevin Love, CLE vs. HOU
DK ($6,000) FD ($7,400)
It’s hard to get excited about Love right now with Cleveland getting blown out seemingly every night but this price is getting out of hand. This is a guy who was $2,000 more about a month ago and he still has that ability. While blowouts have limited his production recently, we’re still talking about a dude who averaged 38.5 DK points across his first 13 games. If we can get that at this price, he’d be one of the best values on the board. Facing Houston is a good way to boost his stats too, with the Rockets ranked third in pace and 23rd in total defense.
Dario Saric, PHX vs, MEM
DK ($5,900) FD ($5,700)
Saric has been brilliant over the last month and it’s clear he’s loving his expanded role with the Suns. With DeAndre Ayton suspended and Aron Baynes sidelined, Saric is taking on a huge workload. Over his last eight games, Saric is averaging 32 DK points per game while reaching at least 35 fantasy points in five of those. That production looks even better when you consider this matchup, with Memphis ranked seventh in pace and 26th in points allowed.
12/11 NBA DFS Centers
Clint Capela, HOU at CLE
DK ($8,000) FD ($8,800)
Don’t look now but Capela has established himself as one of the best rebounders in the NBA. Over his last 12 outings, CC is averaging 15.3 points, 18.3 rebounds and 2.1 blocks per game. That equates to a 45-point average and that’s crazy from a player sitting at $8,000 on DraftKings. The best part about this play might be the matchup though, with Cleveland ranked 29th in defensive efficiency while allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing centers.
Mitchell Robinson, NYK at GS
DK ($5,800) FD ($7,300)
It’s time to unleash the beast! With David Fizdale handing out fliers in front of MSG for his new job, Mitchell has recaptured the role we were all hoping for. Over his last six games, Mitchell is playing over 26 minutes per outing. That’s what we’ve been waiting for and it’s led to him scoring at least 31 DK points in three-straight. He’s always shown that potential and getting the minutes will inevitably lead to huge production. Facing the Warriors isn’t shabby either, with Golden State ranked 25th in defensive rating.
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