NBA DFS Plays for Friday, 3/6: Trae Day
I was really concerned about Wednesday’s article when all of that injury news dropped but things turned out pretty well. Daniel Theis and Dillon Brooks were our only duds while Luka Doncic, Carmelo Anthony, Mike Conley and C.J. McCollum put in great performances. That’s all we can hope for, so, let’s keep that rolling here for our 3/6 NBA DFS plays of the day!
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3/6 NBA DFS Point Guards
Trae Young, ATL at WSH
DK ($9,900) FD ($9,900)
Young just had one of his worst games of the season on Monday and it’s always nice to buy a player’s stock when its at its lowest. That terrible performance got Lloyd Pierce calling out his team for its effort and that could make Young play extra motivated here. Prior to that dud on, Young averaged 52.3 DraftKings points per game across his previous 11 outings. If we get a motivated Young here, he should absolutely obliterate a Washington team who ranks dead-last in both defensive efficiency and points allowed. In his last game against them, Trae provided 45 points, six rebounds and 14 assists, if you needed any more incentive.
Dejounte Murray, SAN at BRK
DK ($5,800) FD ($5,500)
Murray has quietly had a monster second half and it’s clear that he’s one of the most valuable players on this roster. Over his last nine games played, Murray is averaging 14.9 points, 6.2 rebounds, 5.7 assists and 1.9 steals per game. That equates to 35.6 fantasy points per outing which is too much for someone below $6,000. We happen to love the matchup against Brooklyn too, with the Nets surrendering the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.
3/6 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
Jimmy Butler, MIA at NOP
DK ($7,900) FD ($7,900)
Butler was in our article on Wednesday and we’re going to keep riding him below $8,000. This dude has been too good to be priced that reasonably, scoring at least 35 DK points in 38 of his last 40 games while averaging 42 DK points per game in that span. The main reason we want to use him today is this matchup though, with New Orleans ranked third in pace and 28th in points allowed. That was on full display when Jimmy Buckets dropped 51 DK points on them in their one meeting earlier this season, despite shooting just 4-of-11 from the field.
DeMar DeRozan, SAN at BRK
DK ($7,200) FD ($7,800)
With LaMarcus Aldridge out again, DeRozan should run the show for the Spurs. In his absence this season, DD is leading the team with a 32 percent usage rate. What makes that really intriguing is the fact that DeRozan has scored at least 29 fantasy points in 28 of his last 31 games while averaging 41 DK points per game in that span. That usage and production are particularly tough to fade against a Nets team who owns a 21st OPRK against opposing SGs this season.
3/6 NBA DFS Small Forwards
Danilo Gallinari, OKC at NYK
DK ($6,100) FD ($6,600)
Many people talk about this OKC backcourt and rightfully so, but Gallo has been a nice find for this surprising team. Not only has he scored at least 31 DK points in 19 of his last 24 games, but Gallinari is also averaging 32 fantasy points per game in that span. That looks nice when you consider this matchup, with New York ranked 23rd in defensive efficiency while owning a 24th OPRK against opposing SFs. All of that makes him too cheap and a great option at a shallow small forward position.
De’Andre Hunter, ATL at WSH
DK ($4,900) FD ($4,600)
This motivated Atlanta team should be playing with some fury here and that’s big news for an up-and-coming rookie like Hunter. Over his last 18 games played, Hunter is averaging 27 DraftKings points per game across 34 minutes of action. That role and production are huge from a player below $5,000 and we absolutely love that he faces a Washington team who allows the second-most fantasy points to opposing SFs.
3/6 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL at LAL
DK ($11,200) FD ($11,100)
Honestly, not much needs to be said here. We have the MVP front-runner facing off against LeBron James, Anthony Davis and the Lakers in the premier game of the season. That means we’re going to get a motivated Giannis and possibly a bump in playing time in such a big game. That’s all we can ask for with Antetokounmpo averaging 57.3 DK points per game in fewer than 31 minutes of action for the season. In his one meeting against them, Giannis had 64.3 fantasy points in 32 minutes of action on a modest 19 shot attempts. Look for him to be everywhere in this game.
Maxi Kleber, DAL vs. MEM
DK ($5,200) FD ($4,900)
This would be one of my favorite plays of the day if Dorian Finney-Smith sits. In the win on Wednesday where DFS got injured, Kleber collected 32.3 DraftKings points across 39 minutes of action. Those 39 minutes are the most encouraging sign and it looks even better after a 38-point outing across 34 minutes in his previous game. That means these price tags are way too low and we can’t overlook the fact that he faces a Memphis team who sits seventh in pace while owning a 30th OPRK against opposing PFs. That ugly OPRK should be even worse with Jaren Jackson Jr, Jae Crowder, and Brandon Clarke all missing in their frontcourt right now. Not to mention, Dallas has quite the lengthy injury report themselves.
3/6 NBA DFS Centers
Myles Turner, IND at CHI
DK ($5,200) FD ($6,000)
Playing centers against Chicago is an absolute cheat code for DFS. In fact, they currently allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. That’s big news for a hot player like Turner, with the Indy big man averaging 32 fantasy points per game across his last 10 outings. That was pretty clear when Turner had his best game of the season against them, collecting 56 DraftKings points just a month ago.
Aron Baynes, PHX vs. POR
DK ($3,000) FD ($4,900)
With Deandre Ayton missing this game. Baynes should step right back into the role that made him fantasy-relevant earlier this season. In his first 20 starts of the season, Baynes averaged 27 DK points per game across 26 minutes of action. That’s brilliant production from a minimum priced player and 25-30 minutes appears to be the floor with Baynes needing to oppose Hassan Whiteside. Not to mention, Portland sits 27th in defensive efficiency while surrendering the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing centers. This could be the best per-dollar play on the board if we get word that Baynes is starting.
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