NBA DFS Plays for Friday, 2/28: La Vie en LeVert
Aside from that Joel Embiid injury, Wednesday’s article went really well. We got great performances from Caris LeVert, Terry Rozier and Josh Richardson and we’re going to look to build off of that momentum here. We’re actually going to take a little bit different of an approach here, riding all value plays. With that in mind, let’s get into our 2/28 NBA DFS plays of the day.
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2/28 NBA DFS Point Guards
Ja Morant, MEM vs. SAC
DK ($6,600) FD ($5,800)
Morant’s last few games have been terrible and it’s lowered his price tags to numbers we can’t overlook. What we can ignore are his matchups in that span, facing teams like the Clippers, Lakers, and Rockets. The blowout nature of those games limited his production and it’s easy to look past those ugly outings in a four-game road trip. Prior to that slump, Morant averaged 35 DraftKings points per game over his previous 19 outings. That’s the Rookie of the Year front-runner that we know and love, as a matchup against an 18th-ranked Kings defense should be just what the doctor ordered in what should be a close game.
Markelle Fultz, ORL vs. MIN
DK ($5,900) FD ($5,600)
We definitely want to get some exposure to the Magic on this slate because it’s always beneficial to start players against the T’Wolves. The reason for that is because they rank fifth in pace and 27th in total defense. That’s great news for a premier athlete like Fultz, especially with the young guard having a breakout season. Over his last seven games played, Markelle is averaging 30.4 DK points per game and that’s really all you can ask for from someone priced so reasonably.
2/28 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
Caris LeVert, BRK at ATL
DK ($8,300) FD ($7,200)
This is my third article of the week and the third time I’ve written up LeVert. The simple fact is, he’s been too good for us and we can’t stop recommending him until his price gets too expensive. We’re not quite there yet, with LeVert averaging 20 shots and a 31 percent usage rate over his last nine games played. That directly correlates with Kyrie Irving’s injury and it’s led to him averaging 41.5 fantasy points per game in that span. The best part about using him here might be the matchup though, with Atlanta sitting 28th in defensive efficiency and 29th in points allowed.
Fred VanVleet, TOR vs. CHA
DK ($6,500) FD ($6,500)
These prices are ridiculous. While he has been struggling a bit recently, FVV is too good of a player to be priced so cheaply. We’re talking about a player who’s averaging 36.2 DK points per game for the season while scoring at least 21 fantasy points in all but three games this season. That’s a great average and an even better floor which is more indicative of a $7,500 player. The matchup against Charlotte is the icing on the cake though, with the Hornets ranked 26th in defensive efficiency.
2/28 NBA DFS Small Forwards
Harrison Barnes, SAC at MEM
DK ($5,400) FD ($4,900)
Picking small forwards was a difficult task on this slate, so, let’s go with a couple of nice values. What we like about Barnes is his recent form, averaging 30.9 DK points per game across his last six outings. We really like that he’s playing 37 minutes a game in that span while attempting 12 shots per game as well. That role and increase in production is huge against a Memphis club who sits sixth in pace and 26th in points allowed. That’s definitely been on display in their first three meetings, with Barnes averaging 34 fantasy points per game against the Grizzlies this season.
Dillon Brooks, MEM vs. SAC
DK ($5,200) FD ($5,100)
Brooks is mired in a terrible slump right now but it’s lowered his price tag to a number that we can’t fade. This is a guy who’s averaging 25 points per game since the opening week and has only been getting better. The thing that makes him really enticing is the fact that he’s averaging 16 shots per game since the beginning of January, which should only rise with Jaren Jackson Jr, Jae Crowder, and Brandon Clarke all out of the picture. If we get the 15-20 shots and 30-35 minutes out of Brooks that we anticipate, he’s one of the best plays of the day below $5,500.
2/28 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Kevin Love, CLE at NOP
DK ($7,300) FD ($6,200)
This is yet another guy who’s too cheap. We’re talking about a former All-Star who’s averaging 33.8 DraftKings points per game for the season. That already makes him look like a great value, particularly against a Pelicans team who sits third in pace and 28th in total defense. What’s funny about Love is that he’s always productive in close games. That’s evident when you see that 12 of the 13 times that he scored fewer than 30 DK points were games decided by double-digit margins. In his eight highest-scoring games of the season (49+ FP), all of them were decided by 11 points or fewer. That’s good news here, with Cleveland facing a 25-33 Pelicans team with a crappy defense.
Harry Giles, SAC at MEM
DK ($5,600) FD ($4,800)
Giles has quietly been a good player for the Kings recently and it’s no surprise when you consider that they’re without Richaun Holmes and Marvin Bagley III. That has forced Giles into the starting lineup, averaging 23.6 DK points per game across 24 minutes over his last six games. He’s actually got at least 32 fantasy points in back-to-back games coming into this matchup and his minutes could continue to be on the uptick with his stellar play. Getting to face Memphis is simply a bonus, considering they allow the most FanDuel points to opposing PFs while playing without half of their frontcourt due to injury.
2/28 NBA DFS Centers
Rudy Gobert, UTA vs. WSH
DK ($7,800) FD ($7,600)
This has 20-20 potential written all over it and Gobert would be one of the best values of the day if that’s the case. It’s the matchup that really gives him that upside, facing a Washington team who sits dead-last in both points allowed and defensive efficiency while ranked fourth in pace. That means more possessions which equals more fantasy points for a rebound gobbler like Gobert. That was on full display in their one matchup this season, with Gobert collecting 21 points and 14 rebounds en route to 48 DraftKings points.
Derrick Favors, NOP vs. CLE
DK ($4,800) FD ($5,100)
This is certainly a risky play with Favors minutes being limited since Zion’s debut but this is a game where he’ll be needed. Cleveland sends out bigs like Andre Drummond, Kevin Love and Tristan Thompson which should force Favors into 25-30 minutes of play. That’s all we can hope for, with Favors averaging 29.2 DK points per game across 26 minutes over his last 26 games played. That looks even better when you consider the fact that Cleveland surrenders the second-most fantasy points to opposing centers.
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