NBA DFS Plays for Friday, 1/3: Book It, Brow and Blazers
After a small four-game slate on Wednesday, we get a nice six-gamer here. While that’s not a ton of games, it’s the perfect amount to work with. Without further ado, let’s get into our 1/3 NBA DFS plays of the day!
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1/3 NBA DFS Point Guards
Damian Lillard, POR at WSH
DK ($9,700) FD ($9,300)
Lillard is easily one of the best plays on the board. The biggest reason we like him is the matchup, facing a Wizards club who owns a 28th OPRK against opposing point guards this season. That’s scary against a guy like Lillard, with Dame averaging 47 DK points per game across his last eight outings. What he’s really done in that stretch is take over this offense, averaging 21 shots, 8.1 assists and a usage rate north of 30 percent in that span. If he matches those, look for him to score at least 50 DraftKings points here.
Markelle Fultz, ORL vs. MIA
DK ($4,900) FD ($5,300)
I have some hope that Fultz can live up to the draft price that Philly paid for him and that alone makes him an attractive option in the $5,000-range. We’re talking about a dude who has all the talent in the world and he’s shown some of that recently. In fact, Fultz is averaging 26 DK points per game across his last 22 fixtures. That’s really all you can hope for from a player in this price range and we love that he’s providing value through rebounds and assists. That’s big in a tough matchup against the Heat and we’re going to bank on him matching that average again here, providing about 6X value.
1/3 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
Devin Booker, PHX vs. NYK
DK ($7,900) FD ($8,000)
I initially had Bradley Beal in this section but I got rid of it since his status is up in the air. If he’s out, don’t forget about Jordan McRae though! With that said, Booker is easily my favorite play at the shooting guard position. Scoring at least 41 DK points in four-straight games shows just how well this guy is playing, averaging 42.6 DraftKings points per game across his last 11 outings. He should be able to continue that form against a team like the Knicks too, with New York ranked 21st in defensive efficiency. We really want to stack this game as well, with these bad teams likely playing a competitive ballgame knowing they can both grab a win for once.
1/3 NBA DFS Small Forwards
Gordon Hayward, BOS vs. ATL
DK ($7,000) FD ($6,900)
I was a bit surprised to see Hayward in this price range but he’s still worth using the way he’s been balling out. In fact, Hayward is averaging 34 DK points per game this season, scoring over 31 DraftKings points in five of his last six games. The main reason we like him today is this matchup though, with Atlanta sitting 29th in defensive efficiency while allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season.
Carmelo Anthony, POR at WSH
DK ($6,700) FD ($6,000)
Stacking Portland is going to be a theme in this article because they face the Wizards. To put it simply, this is the best matchup in basketball. It would be one thing to play at the third-fastest pace in the NBA but it looks even worse when you consider that they’re last in both points allowed and defensive efficiency. That squarely puts a chucker like Melo in play, averaging over 15 shots across 33 minutes across his last 12 healthy games. Anthony has been feeling it since returning too, averaging 30 DraftKings points per game since the opener.
1/3 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Anthony Davis, LAL vs. NOP
DK ($10,300) FD ($10,400)
I almost never recommend a player above $10,000 but we can make an exception for Davis here. The reason for that is because he gets the ultimate revenge game against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. Not only is this the team that treated him poorly in his Pelicans tenure, they also happen to rank 29th in defense as well. That was crystal clear when Davis collected 41 points, nine rebounds and three steals in his one game against his former team this season. That stellar outing is no surprise when you see that he’s already averaging 54 DK points per game over his last 20 fixtures while never scoring fewer than 40 fantasy points in any of those.
Julius Randle, NYK at PHX
DK ($7,700) FD ($7,600)
Randle has really responded to his new coach, playing some of the best basketball of his career. Not only has he scored at least 45 DK points in five-straight games, he’s also averaging 49 fantasy points per game in that span. What we really love is his usage, posting a 31 percent usage rate in that span while taking 21 shots a game. That’s fantastic in a matchup like this, with Phoenix ranked 25th in total defense.
1/3 NBA DFS Centers
Hassan Whiteside, POR at WSH
DK ($9,500) FD ($9,300)
Whiteside is truly playing at an All-Star level and his price is finally getting to where it belongs. In fact, we probably can’t use him if it gets any higher but he’s an absolute beast right now. Over his last 17 games played, Whiteside is averaging 16.1 points, 14.9 rebounds and 3.6 blocks per game. There aren’t many players doing that and it says a lot about how well he’s cleaning up the glass for this shorthanded frontcourt. We absolutely love that against a Washington team who sits dead-last in points allowed and defensive efficiency, as Whiteside could approach a 20-20 game here.
Enes Kanter, BOS vs. ATL
DK ($5,500) FD ($5,200)
Kanter is in his best stretch as a Celtic and doing some serious damage despite not playing a whole lot. Over his last eight games, Kanter is averaging 11.5 points, 11.6 rebounds and 1.5 blocks in just 21.4 minutes per game. That’s truly absurd and it would be scary to think how good he could be if he played 30 minutes. That seems like a possibility here, with Boston entering this matchup as a large favorite, potentially getting Kanter more minutes off the bench. It’s no surprise they’re a big favorite when looking at the matchup, with Atlanta surrendering the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season while ranked bottom-3 in points allowed and defensive efficiency.
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