Close doesn’t count in prop betting. We had a brutal night last night going 1 for 3. We had LeBron OVER 27, and he had 26. Had Brandon Ingram UNDER 23, and he had 26. Our Ja Morant UNDER hit, but LeBron’s line was a layup with his matchup and narrative, so that one hurt most. It happens. We move onward. Throw out the bad days and throw out the good days. With prop bets, we don’t need to wait for season-long storylines to play out. Every day is a new day. Fantrax wants to help you win a bit of money, so we will be giving you NBA Player Prop Bets every week. We’ll shy away from keying in on any particular sportsbook, as we know odds vary, and so do props. We’ll focus on our projections, and allow you to find your best odds. Let’s get into today’s prop bets.
NBA Player Prop Bets for February 3
Bojan Bogdanovic OVER 24 Points:
The Pistons take on the Hornets tonight, and nobody should be taking any UNDERs in this game. Detroit has the 2nd to last ranked defense in the league, with the 12th ranked pace. The Hornets will be on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back, and sport the 26th ranked defense and 6th fastest pace in the league. The Pistons should be well rested as their last game was on Jan. 30th, after their game with the Wizards was postponed due to travel issues. Bogdanovic looks to survive the trade deadline, and with that, he’ll take his 21PPG and remain the 1st scoring option this year. Next year, that will change, as Cunningham will return, and Jaden Ivey will take a jump, but this year, it’s Bogdanovic. Bojan has had 25+ points in three of his last five games, and I don’t see that line being very hard to reach in a track meet vs. Charlotte. The TOTAL of this game is 240 in Vegas, so realistically, we are saying that the leading scorer will have about 20% of the team’s points. Very reasonable. If you’re looking for even better odds, I’d take his points up to about 33, which he dropped 4 games prior.
Domantas Sabonis OVER 30 Points + Rebounds + Assists:
This is probably going to need to be included into a parlay, as the odds won’t be very good, but it’s the only line I feel comfortable with for Sabonis. The newly named All-Star is going to get a great matchup against a fast-paced (4th fastest) Pacers squad that is 22nd in defense, on the 2nd leg of a back-t0-back, and coming off of a last second loss to the Lakers. On top of that, De’Aaron Fox will miss this game for personal reasons, so extra play-making duties should fall on the All-Star. The reason I’m keeping the line so low is because he’s had 31PRA and 17PRA games in his last five. He’s not immune to putting up a stinker. With Fox out, this should be a layup, but don’t go overboard, and bet crazy units on it. We can’t actually tell the future. We just think we can…
Anthony Edwards OVER 38 Points + Rebounds + Assists:
I feel like I choose Ant’s OVERs almost every night he plays, but that’s because he consistently hits them. He’s turned into an incredible player, and I can’t believe he didn’t make the All-Star team. He’s not the type to cry about it though, he’ll just show out. He gets a great matchup vs. the 19th ranked defense of the Orlando Magic, he’s going to come out swinging. Ant has dropped 38+ PRA in each of his last seven games. If you think the 20-32 Magic present too much of a challenge, and want to fade Ant, be my guest. Couldn’t be me though…