When it comes to critical fantasy football decisions, we’re always focused on quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. Heck, even defense and special teams units get their fair share of attention as well! Yet, what about kickers? Unless your league doesn’t force you to roster one, they still score points for you, and can be the difference between winning and losing your matchup!
This brings me to my Week 16 kicker rankings. You don’t usually see kickers dissected, but that’s what I plan to do today. You’ve probably heard of expected/implied points for other positions, yet not for kickers. Let’s solve that, shall we?
We know a field-goal attempt is at least three times more valuable than an extra point, but it depends on distance. Thus, a raw field goal attempt is closer to four times more valuable than an extra point. With that in mind, here are the expected points for each kicker thus far, based on their usage.
Implied Points (Weeks 1-15)
|Kicker||Team||Difference||Implied Points||Fantasy PPG|
With the Cowboys continuing to be conservative on fourth downs as of late, Greg Zuerlein continues to move closer to the #1 spot on this list, though Nick Folk still holds it as of now. With Zuerlein’s Cowboys projected for more points against the Washington Football Team than the Patriots are against the Bills, I have Zuerlein as the #1 kicker of the week. Yes, past usage matters, but we need to adjust that to amount of points they are projected to score this week, and compare it to previous norms. Folk, for example, is likely to be hurt by the fact that New England is facing one of the tougher defenses in the NFL, while kickers like Dustin Hopkins and Jake Elliot rise up the rankings due to very favorable matchups.
Hopefully, this helps explain my thought process when it comes to my kicker rankings. Speaking of which, here they are!
Week 16 Kicker Rankings
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