When it comes to critical fantasy football decisions, we’re always focused on quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. Heck, even defense and special teams units get their fair share of attention as well! Yet, what about kickers? Unless your league doesn’t force you to roster one, they still score points for you, and can be the difference between winning and losing your matchup!
This brings me to my Week 13 kicker rankings. You don’t usually see kickers dissected, but that’s what I plan to do today. You’ve probably heard of expected/implied points for other positions, yet not for kickers. Let’s solve that, shall we?
We know a field-goal attempt is at least three times more valuable than an extra point, but it depends on distance. Thus, a raw field goal attempt is closer to four times more valuable than an extra point. With that in mind, here are the expected points for each kicker thus far, based on their usage.
More fantasy football fun for Week 14: Waiver Wire | FAAB Guide | Start & Sit | Loves & Hates | Stock Watch | Sleepers & Streamers | D/ST Streamers
Implied Points (Weeks 1-13)
| Name | Team | Difference | Implied Points | Fantasy PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Folk | NE | 0.0364 | 10.5636 | 10.6 |
| Rodrigo Blankenship | IND | -1.8738 | 9.8738 | 8.0 |
| Daniel Carlson | LV | 0.2325 | 9.2675 | 9.5 |
| Greg Zuerlein | DAL | -0.7970 | 9.1970 | 8.4 |
| Mason Crosby | GB | -1.3150 | 8.9150 | 7.6 |
| Greg Joseph | MIN | 0.1555 | 8.8445 | 9.0 |
| Tyler Bass | BUF | -0.0625 | 8.5625 | 8.5 |
| Chris Blewitt | WAS | -3.3510 | 8.3510 | 5.0 |
| Matt Gay | LAR | 0.6490 | 8.3510 | 9.0 |
| Justin Tucker | BAL | 0.5195 | 8.2805 | 8.8 |
| Graham Gano | NYG | 0.1900 | 8.2100 | 8.4 |
| Matt Prater | ARI | 0.0605 | 8.1395 | 8.2 |
| Randy Bullock | TEN | -0.2665 | 7.9665 | 7.7 |
| Joey Slye | WAS | 0.0190 | 7.8810 | 7.9 |
| Dustin Hopkins | LAC | -0.3575 | 7.8575 | 7.5 |
| Chris Boswell | PIT | 1.1540 | 7.6460 | 8.8 |
| Evan McPherson | CIN | 1.0245 | 7.5755 | 8.6 |
| Jake Elliott | PHI | 0.6601 | 7.4399 | 8.1 |
| Harrison Butker | KC | 0.6655 | 7.4345 | 8.1 |
| Ryan Succop | TB | -0.0345 | 7.4345 | 7.4 |
| Robbie Gould | SF | 0.7008 | 7.3993 | 8.1 |
| Zane Gonzalez | CAR | 0.3488 | 7.3512 | 7.7 |
| Michael Badgley | IND | 0.1710 | 7.1290 | 7.3 |
| Brandon McManus | DEN | -0.0705 | 6.8705 | 6.8 |
| Brian Johnson | WAS | 0.3718 | 6.8282 | 7.2 |
| Jason Sanders | MIA | -0.5241 | 6.7241 | 6.2 |
| Austin Seibert | DET | -0.3180 | 6.5180 | 6.2 |
| Matt Ammendola | NYJ | -1.2437 | 6.0437 | 4.8 |
| Chase McLaughlin | CLE | 0.2755 | 6.0245 | 6.3 |
| Riley Patterson | DET | 0.6870 | 5.8130 | 6.5 |
| Cairo Santos | CHI | -0.2130 | 5.8130 | 5.6 |
| Younghoe Koo | ATL | 0.5280 | 5.6720 | 6.2 |
| Tristan Vizcaino | LAC | -0.4080 | 5.1080 | 4.7 |
| Jason Myers | SEA | -0.1375 | 5.0375 | 4.9 |
| Matthew Wright | JAX | 0.2330 | 4.9670 | 5.2 |
| Ryan Santoso | DET | -0.4670 | 4.9670 | 4.5 |
| Aldrick Rosas | DET | -0.7978 | 4.7978 | 4.0 |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | HOU | -0.5030 | 4.4030 | 3.9 |
| Josh Lambo | JAX | -2.7030 | 4.4030 | 1.7 |
| Brett Maher | NO | -0.5390 | 3.8390 | 3.3 |
| Lirim Hajrullahu | DAL | 1.7250 | 3.2750 | 5.0 |
| Cody Parkey | NO | -0.2750 | 3.2750 | 3.0 |
| Alex Kessman | NYJ | -0.7370 | 0.7370 | 0.0 |
Even in the windiest of all games, Tyler Bass saw two field goal attempts; he’s a top-five kicker moving forward. Meanwhile, Daniel Carlson and Mason Crosby continue to benefit from offenses struggling in the red zone, while Matt Gay and Matt Prater should have opportunities to shine in a shootout in Arizona this weekend. Combining utilization with the expected scoring output is critical when it comes to finding the right kicker to start.
Hopefully, this helps explain my thought process when it comes to my kicker rankings. Speaking of which, here they are!
Week 14 Kicker Rankings
BYES: IND, MIA, NE, PHI
Week 14 Rankings: QB | RB | WR | TE | Kicker | D/ST | PPR | Flex
| Rnk | Kicker | Team | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Zuerlein | DAL | WSH |
| 2 | Greg Joseph | MIN | PIT |
| 3 | Daniel Carlson | LV | KC |
| 4 | Tyler Bass | BUF | TB |
| 5 | Matt Gay | LAR | ARI |
| 6 | Matt Prater | ARI | LAR |
| 7 | Mason Crosby | GB | CHI |
| 8 | Justin Tucker | BAL | CLE |
| 9 | Randy Bullock | TEN | JAX |
| 10 | Harrison Butker | KC | LV |
| 11 | Dustin Hopkins | LAC | NYG |
| 12 | Chris Boswell | PIT | MIN |
| 13 | Graham Gano | NYG | LAC |
| 14 | Brandon McManus | DEN | DET |
| 15 | Brett Maher | NO | NYJ |
| 16 | Zane Gonzalez | CAR | ATL |
| 17 | Evan McPherson | CIN | SF |
| 18 | Robbie Gould | SF | CIN |
| 19 | Ryan Succop | TB | BUF |
| 20 | Brian Johnson | WSH | DAL |
| 21 | Jason Myers | SEA | HOU |
| 22 | Younghoe Koo | ATL | CAR |
| 23 | Chase McLaughlin | CLE | BAL |
| 24 | Kaimi Fairbairn | HOU | SEA |
| 25 | Matthew Wright | JAX | TEN |
| 26 | Cairo Santos | CHI | GB |
| 27 | Riley Patterson | DET | DEN |
| 28 | Eddy Pineiro | NYJ | NO |
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