As we near the trade deadline in many leagues and approach the final few games of the fantasy regular season, it’s time for dynasty contenders to solidify already imposing lineups and for rebuilding teams to sell productive players for future rookie picks or young prospects. Here are a couple of dynasty buys and sells to target in your leagues, but keep in mind the other team’s current situation when initiating trade talks.
All the first-round rookie picks in the world won’t help you acquire Alvin Kamara if the other dynasty GM is contending for a title, and don’t attempt to sell veteran contributors like Julio Jones to teams clearly in a rebuild and not in position to vie for a championship this year.
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Week 10 Dynasty Buys
Currently sitting as the no. 34 fantasy running back in PPR scoring on the season, J.D. McKissic has been flex-worthy most weeks, having scored at least seven points in each game since Week 3. He’s had a solid floor as a PPR play, but Kyle Allen‘s ankle injury is what makes McKissic’s upside interesting. With Allen out for the season, the possibility of Alex Smith starting for the rest of the year makes McKissic one of the cheapest dynasty buys with both an intriguing ceiling along with a high weekly floor.
With Washington trailing for most of the game against the Giants in Week 9, McKissic played a season-high 83 percent of snaps on offense and ran a league-high 31 pass routes, which led to nine receptions for 65 yards on 14 targets. Similarly, when Smith filled in for Allen in Week 5 against the Rams, McKissic saw eight targets, catching six for 46 yards. Smith has always had a tendency to check the ball down, but he seems even more inclined to do so in efforts to protect his right leg, as the fracture from last season nearly claimed his life.
Unheralded players often present screaming values as dynasty buys. Pass-catching running backs like Tarik Cohen and Nyheim Hines have been productive in PPR formats due to target volume, and so too could McKissic for the rest of the season. He’s a decent flex option in PPR formats with RB2 upside in games where Washington trails, which is likely to be a majority of them. McKissic can probably be acquired for just a third-round rookie pick in most leagues and should be a target for contenders in need of depth at running back or flex.
Since Week 7, Jakobi Meyers has seen the sixth-most targets in the league with Julian Edelman sidelined by a knee surgery, having garnered 38 percent of the target share in New England over the last three games. He’s managed to turn his 30 targets into 22 receptions for 287 yards and a touchdown, making Meyers the no. 9 fantasy wide receiver over that span and one of the biggest priority dynasty buys.
Edelman will be eligible to return from injured reserve in Week 11, but that shouldn’t scare dynasty teams away from acquiring Meyers. Even prior to his injury, Edelman was fairly ineffective during the early stretch of the season, and Meyers has played just 32 percent of his snaps from the slot compared to over 70 percent of Edelman’s snaps having come from the slot when healthy this year. Most are expecting Meyers’s production to fall off once Edelman returns, but he should be productive regardless with the two playing different roles.
Long-term, Edelman is 34 years old and could be cut after this year with less than $3 million in dead money. On the other hand, Meyers is on his rookie deal through 2021, and the Patriots could retain him as a restricted free agent thereafter. Regardless of whether Meyers stays in New England in 2022 and beyond, he could be a strong PPR flex play with upside for the remainder of the 2020 season and in 2021 if he solidifies his role as the no. 1 wide receiver. He’s well-worth acquiring for the low price of a third-round rookie pick or less, though buyers should be aware that the Patriots’ wide receivers face a tough fantasy playoff schedule.
Week 9 Dynasty Buys Revisited:
JaMycal Hasty and D’Onta Foreman were the Week 9 dynasty buys recommended. Hasty completely flopped against a vulnerable Green Bay run defense last Thursday night, and Raheem Mostert will return soon. With Hasty’s value now severely depleted, it may still be prudent to buy cheap for a fourth-round rookie pick for long-term potential in 2021 and beyond, but this recommendation is looking like a miss.
As for Foreman, he scored a receiving touchdown early against the Colts, and he showed good burst in garbage time when the Titans were down multiple scores late in the game. Foreman remains an upside stash who could be the biggest beneficiary if Derrick Henry were to miss any time down the stretch, especially given their easy fantasy playoff schedule. He has league-winning upside at the cost of a third-round rookie pick or less.
Week 10 Dynasty Sells
The last three weeks have been an incredible run for Curtis Samuel, who ranks as the no. 6 fantasy wide receiver in PPR formats over that span. It would appear that Samuel may have usurped D.J. Moore as the no. 2 receiver in Carolina’s offense, but that may be a flawed conclusion. Since Week 7, Samuel has seen at least five targets in each game. However, Over the last three games, Robby Anderson has continued to dominate as the lead receiver with a 28 percent target share compared to just 19 percent for Samuel and 13 percent for Moore. In the three games prior from Week 4 through Week 6, Anderson maintained his lead with a 27 percent target share compared to 21 percent for Moore and just nine percent for Samuel.
The target share split has been erratic behind Anderson, so what changed over the last three weeks? The answer is simple: touchdowns. Samuel has scored four touchdowns over his last three games after failing to find the end zone at all in the first six games of the season. While Samuel’s involvement as a runner out of the backfield and on gadget plays does help his scoring potential, it’s incredibly unlikely that he’ll continue to score on 29 percent of his carries, as he did over the last three weeks. His 10 percent scoring rate as a receiver is also extremely high and likely unsustainable.
Anderson has been running the high-percentage routes and is likely to continue doing so, making him the most reliable option for fantasy (I’d previously written about Anderson as one of my dynasty buys from Week 5). With an unsustainable scoring rate, Samuel is a dynasty sell if teams can get an early second-round rookie pick or more. Samuel’s role is still far from reliable for the remainder of the year, and it doesn’t help that the Panthers’ wide receivers face a tough fantasy playoff schedule. Long-term, Samuel is a free agent after this season, and though he could benefit from a less-crowded receiver room, there’s plenty of risk of his production waning as well depending on the landing spot.
This one should be fairly obvious, but there has been some hype on Breshad Perriman after his surprise 101-yard performance and two touchdowns against the Patriots on Monday night. Perriman was waiver wire fodder for much of last season until both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin missed time during the fantasy playoffs. With Evans out Weeks 15 and 16 and Godwin out as well in Week 16, Perriman was the no. 4 fantasy wide receiver in PPR scoring for the three fantasy playoff games.
In leagues where I had added him off the waiver wire last year, I flipped Perriman for a third-round rookie pick in the offseason. In 2020, Perriman ranks as the no. 87 wide receiver through nine weeks even after his 27-point game against New England. By the way, that performance came with backup quarterback Joe Flacco under center and against an overmatched Patriots secondary that was missing their top cornerback, Stephon Gilmore, due to a knee injury.
Perriman is an afterthought in fantasy who should only have been rostered in the deepest of leagues. If any league mates believe him to have any consistent fantasy value going forward, dynasty teams should sell for any late-round rookie pick. He’s on a one-year prove-it deal with the Jets and has shown little potential, and Perriman is unlikely to have much dynasty value, if any, going forward in 2021 and beyond whether in New York or elsewhere.
Week 9 Dynasty Sells Revisited:
Justin Jackson and Jordan Wilkins were the Week 9 dynasty sells recommended. Jackson flopped due to injury against the Raiders, but he would’ve been a sell even if he’d performed well with Austin Ekeler on the cusp of returning. Hopefully dynasty teams were able to sell Jackson for a third-round rookie pick or more during his stretch of fantasy relevance.
As for Wilkins, he and Nyheim Hines again out-touched Jonathan Taylor against Tennessee, but the Colts’ backfield remains a murky committee that makes it impossible to know which running back will be the best fantasy play from week to week. Wilkins remains a pure handcuff with little standalone value when Taylor and Hines are both healthy.
Like Meng’s Week 10 Dynasty Buys and Sells? Check out the rest of our Week 10 Fantasy Football lineup!
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