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Late-Career Breakout

Outliers: Are These Pitchers Having Late-Career Breakouts?

When a young pitcher starts to venture into uncharted territory with a new skill, fantasy owners typically don't waste much time pursuing the player on waivers. For example, Sean Newcomb has struggled with his walk rate throughout his minor league career and during his brief time in the majors. However, as that rate has dipped over his past few starts, owners have flocked to him as he is showing signs of breaking out to a new level. We easily adopt that narrative with 24-year-olds, yet we are usually far more skeptical of…