NBA DFS Plays for Friday, 11/8: Love is in the Air
Wednesday was another successful day, hitting big on Clippers like Montrezl Harrell and Lou Williams. Unfortunately, we had two more guys get injured from the last article and I’m starting to wonder if we’re putting a Madden-esque jinx on these players. That’s obviously just a joke but it does show how volatile NBA DFS can be at times with unexpected injuries ruining lineups. Just keep grinding away because there’s nothing you can do about that sort of thing. With that in mind, let’s get into our 11/8 NBA DFS plays!
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11/8 NBA DFS Point Guards
Kyle Lowry, TOR at NOP
DK ($8,300) FD ($8,500)
Lowry has been undervalued for DFS purposes all season long and it’s hard to understand why his price remains below $9,000 on both sites. With Kawhi Leonard now in Los Angeles, Lowry has returned to his All-Star form. In fact, Lowry is averaging 24 points, 4.6 rebounds, 6.7 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Most importantly, he’s playing 39 minutes a game while posting a 23.4 percent usage rate. That’s a monstrous role from a talented player like this and we have to love that he faces a Pelicans team who’s allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing point guards.
Raul Neto, PHI at DEN
DK ($3,400) FD ($3,700)
With Ben Simmons out for the next week, Neto should step in as the starting point guard. In the last game when Simmons departed in the first quarter, Neto played 30 minutes while dropping 25.3 DK points. That is a huge indicator that he’ll step right into that T.J. McConnell role, as that sort of production equates to 8X value at this unbelievable price. All you need is 20 DK points from Neto to reach value and that looks like the floor with him looking at a minimum of 25 minutes here.
11/8 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
Bradley Beal, WSH vs. CLE
DK ($8,600) FD ($9,100)
Beal is in a bit of a shooting slump but it’s hard to overlook such a prominent usage from such a good player. Despite shooting under 41 percent from the field, Beal is still providing 45 DK points per game. That’s really no surprise when you see that he’s averaging 35.2 minutes and 22.5 shots per game while posting a 33 percent usage rate. That means that 45-point average may only get higher and that could definitely be the case against a Cleveland defense who owns a 25th OPRK against opposing shooting guards this season.
Alec Burks, GS at MIN
DK ($5,200) FD ($5,100)
While D’Angelo Russell is expected to return here, Burks has established himself as the go-to sixth man for this already shallow roster. What we really like about Burks is that he’s seen an increase in minutes in three-straight games, playing 31 minutes in his last outing. It’s led to an increase in fantasy points too, with Burks accruing a season-high 47 DK points in that loss on Wednesday. Posting a 29 percent usage rate and a season-high in minutes shows us that the Warriors are starting to trust this guy more and he sadly might be the second-best player on this roster right now. We’re not worried about Minnesota either, posting a 23rd OPRK against opposing SGs this season.
11/8 NBA DFS Small Forwards
Jonathan Isaac, ORL vs. MEM
DK ($6,600) FD ($7,000)
If you don’t already know, this dude is an absolute beast on the defensive end of the floor. That alone has made him fantasy relevant, with Isaac averaging 4.6 combined blocks and steals per game. That gives him a great floor, which is evident when you see that he’s scored at least 22 DK points in all eight games this season after dropping a season-best 53 fantasy points on Wednesday. That defensive prowess becomes very intriguing in a matchup like this, with Memphis ranked 24th in total defense, fifth in pace and 26th in turnovers.
Rodney Hood, POR vs. BRK
DK ($3,600) FD ($4,500)
Hood has been a regular in my articles this season and it’s hard to understand why his price remains so low. While he hasn’t been setting records by any means, he continues to provide great value. That’s evident when you see his 23 DK points per game, which alone is 7X value at this price tag. That makes this pricing hard to believe and the production is even less surprising when you see that Hood is playing over 30 minutes a game while attempting about 10 shots per outing. Usage like that is beautiful at this sort of price, especially against a Nets team that ranks 27th in total defense.
11/8 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Kevin Love, CLE at WSH
DK ($9,300) FD ($9,300)
Love has returned to his All-Star form this season. What makes this guy special is the fact that he stuffs the stat sheet at ease, averaging 46.7 DK points per game this season. His floor is equally as enticing, scoring at least 38 DK points in every game this year. That’s a huge floor from a player with 60-point upside and we absolutely love that he faces a Wizards club who sits 27th in defensive rating. As long as this dude is healthy, which he is right now, he’s a fantasy monster.
Jaren Jackson, MEM at ORL
DK ($5,000) FD ($6,000)
NBA DFS is actually pretty similar to the stock market and this is one of those cases where you need to buy a stock at its lowest price. While Jackson is in a terrible slump, it’s lowered his price to this jaw-dropping number. We’re talking about a guy who was $6,900 on DraftKings less than a week ago and is projected to be an $8,000 player if you look at his season-long draft stock. That means we’re looking at a huge discount and we have to keep playing him until his price inevitably rises. This is still a dude who has 50-point potential and we’ll bank on that 10X upside at this dirt-cheap price. What’s kept his price so low is foul trouble and we don’t anticipate that being a problem here against a slow-paced Orlando team with a lack of playmakers.
11/8 NBA DFS Center
Hassan Whiteside, POR vs. BRK
DK ($6,500) FD ($7,800)
There are a ton of good centers on this slate, like Embiid, Towns, Drummond and Davis but let’s go ahead and give you an option in the middle-tier. We’re going to go with Whiteside, as he’s been stellar since joining the Trail Blazers. Averaging 34 DK points per game is impressive on its own but he’s also scored at least 41 DraftKings points in half his games this year. That’s a huge ceiling from a player in this price range but this matchup may be the best part of this play. In fact, Brooklyn is allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season while sitting fourth in pace and 27th in points allowed.
If you have the salary, don’t be afraid to pay up for guys like Drummond, Towns Embiid or Davis either.
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