NBA DFS Plays for Wednesday, 3/4: Luka the Don
None of our picks on Monday went nuts but all of them did well. Having every player perform is honestly more important than having a couple of guys go off and I’ll take that any day of the week. We’re going to look and keep that momentum rolling here, so, let’s get into our 3/4 NBA DFS plays of the day!
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3/4 NBA DFS Point Guards
Luka Doncic, DAL vs. NOP
DK ($10,900) FD ($10,400)
How crazy is it that this 21-year-old kid is doing this sort of damage in the NBA? That makes me feel old and unsuccessful and I’m not even 30 yet! Anyway, we’re talking about a dude who’s averaging 28.5 points, 9.3 rebounds and 8.8 assists per game. That’s obviously absurd and it makes him really attractive against a team who sits 27th in total defense while surrendering the most fantasy points in the league to opposing point guards. That’s been crystal clear in their first three meetings, with Doncic scoring at least 49 DraftKings points in all of them, despite playing just 31 minutes per outing.
Mike Conley, UTA at NYK
DK ($5,700) FD ($5,600)
Conley found his way into my article on Monday and we’re going to keep riding him if he remains below $6,000. We’re talking about a guy who has at least 28 DK points in eight of his nine games since returning to the starting lineup while averaging 32 fantasy points per game in those outings. That 28-point floor reminds us of the Conley of old and he should continue that against a New York team who ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency.
3/4 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
C.J. McCollum. POR vs. WSH
DK ($8,600) FD ($8,800)
I hate where this price has gone to but McCollum has earned every bit of it. The injury to Damian Lillard is what’s really opened things up for him, posting a 35 percent usage rate with him off the floor. His fantasy production is even better than that monster usage, averaging 52.4 DK points per game across his last six outings. The reason we can overlook the price is because of the matchup though, with Washington ranked dead-last in both defensive efficiency and points allowed.
Dillon Brooks, MEM at BRK
DK ($5,400) FD ($5,100)
Brooks has been in this article a lot recently and it’s easy to understand why when looking at the roster. Not only did they lose Jaren Jackson Jr and Brandon Clarke to injury, Memphis also traded off Solomon Hill and Jae Crowder. That leaves almost no wings left, forcing Brooks into a 26 percent usage rate since then. More importantly, Brooks is averaging 22.3 shots per game over his last four fixtures en route to 29 fantasy points per game. Not to mention, Brooklyn owns a 23rd OPRK against SGs this season and just played a stressful OT game on Tuesday.
3/4 NBA DFS Small Forwards
Jimmy Butler, MIA vs. ORL
DK ($7,800) FD ($7,500)
Butler is just too cheap for someone of his ilk. This is a dude who was $9,000 earlier on and it’s hard to understand the stark drop-off in price. Jimmy Buckets has at least 35 DK points in 34 of his last 36 games in total while averaging 41 fantasy points per game in that span. That’s really all you can ask for from a player below $8,000 and he’s actually averaging 40 DK points per game in his three meetings with the Magic this season.
Juancho Hernangomez, MIN vs. CHI
DK ($5,600) FD ($4,900)
As someone who lived in Denver, it’s truly shocking that this guy found himself into fantasy relevance. A trade to a team who’s lost Andrew Wiggins, Jeff Teague, Shabazz Napier, Robert Covington and Gorgui Dieng is a good way to do that and it doesn’t even take into consideration that Karl-Anthony Towns is injured too. That’s forced Hernangomez into the biggest role of his career, averaging 26.6 DK points per game across 29 minutes of action over his nine starts with the T’Wolves. We also don’t hate the matchup, with Chicago surrendering the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing forwards this season.
3/4 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Daniel Theis, BOS vs. CLE
DK ($5,800) FD ($5,700)
Theis has been nice all season long and he’s quietly been one of the Celtics most valuable players. The reason we love him today is this matchup, with Cleveland surrendering the second-most fantasy points to opposing centers. That’s got to be scary for them, with Theis scoring at least 26 fantasy points in eight-straight games while averaging 31 DraftKings points per game in that span. We also can’t overlook the fact that Theis has at least 27 fantasy points in two of his three meetings with Cleveland this season.
Carmelo Anthony, POR vs. WSH
DK ($5,700) FD ($5,200)
This is the second piece to our Portland stack and they’re probably the best team to play on this slate. That’s because they face the worst defense in the NBA which is evident by their projected 120-125 points. We love that with Lillard sidelined, as Melo is posting a 25 percent usage rate with him off the floor. That’s also clear when you see that he’s averaging 14 shots and 34 minutes played over his last 11 games fixtures. If he gets those usage numbers against this defense, Anthony should have no problem obliterating this cheap price tag, considering he dropped 30 fantasy points on just nine shots against Washington in their one meeting earlier this season.
3/4 NBA DFS Centers
Hassan Whiteside, POR vs. WSH
DK ($9,500) FD ($9,500)
Whiteside is the final piece to our Portland stack. Facing Washington’s terrible defense is obviously fantastic for the stud center but it doesn’t even take into consideration that they play at the fifth-fastest pace in the NBA. More possessions and terrible defense is a recipe for Whiteside to go nuts and he’s been doing that a lot recently. In fact, he’s got at least 39 fantasy points in 13 of his last 15 games while averaging 47 DK points per game in that span. Don’t forget that he collected 23 points, 21 rebounds and five blocks in their only meeting earlier this season too.
Wendell Carter Jr, CHI at MIN
DK ($5,500) FD ($4,000)
With WCJ just returning from injury last week, his price is ridiculously low on FanDuel. This is a guy who averaging 29.1 DK points per game across 30 minutes of action over his first 36 games played before getting injured. That’s the production of a $6,000 player and getting 23 minutes of action on Monday indicates that he’s ready for 25-30 minutes here. That increase in playing time pairs beautifully with this matchup, with the T’Wolves ranked third in pace and 28th in defensive efficiency.
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