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NBA DFS Plays for Friday, 2/7: Don’t Be Hatin’ on Ayton

Now that we have that crazy trade deadline behind us, DFS is a little clearer now. Unfortunately, there are plenty of faces still moving places and that makes this one of the most bizarre slates of the season. That means you need to keep an eye on updates to see who is suiting up and which teams are going to be shorthanded. With that in mind, let’s get into our 2/7 NBA DFS plays of the day.

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2/7 NBA DFS Point Guards

Reggie Jackson, DET at OKC

DK ($6,100) FD ($5,700)

I really don’t understand this pricing with Jackson. He’s essentially been the go-to guy with Derrick Rose, Blake Griffin and Luke Kennard all injured and it’s strange he remains so affordable. Since returning nine games ago, Jackson is leading the team with 15.6 shots per game and a 29 percent usage rate. That’s allowed him to score at least 31 DK points in five of his eight fixtures while averaging 29 fantasy points per game in that span. That’s really all you can ask from someone priced so reasonably.

Mike Conley. UTA vs. POR

DK ($5.400) FD ($5,200)

Conley has had a nightmare season up until this point but reinsertion into the starting lineup is just what the doctor ordered. Since recapturing starting point guard duties two games ago, Conley is averaging 38.2 DraftKings points per game across 32 minutes of action. In addition, he’s also taking 16.5 shots while posting a 27.3 percent usage rate. That’s an even bigger workload than the guy we loved in Memphis and we adore a matchup against a Portland team who sits 26th in total defense while surrendering the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing PGs.

 

2/7 NBA DFS Shooting Guards

Jaylen Brown, BOS vs. ATL

DK ($6,800) FD ($6,400)

Brown has been good whether this team is fully healthy or not but we absolutely love him with Kemba Walker, Marcus Smart and Daniel Theis all on the injury report. With those guys off the floor, Brown is second on the team with a 29.4 percent usage rate. That pairs nicely with his recent form, averaging 33.8 fantasy points per game since the beginning of November. The best part about using him today is this matchup though, with Atlanta surrendering the most fantasy points in the league to opposing shooting guards. If Brown is out in addition to all of those guys, Gordon Hayward becomes one of the best plays out there.

Victor Oladipo, IND vs. TOR

DK ($4,900) FD ($5,100)

Gosh, Oladipo has been horrendous in his return from injury but his price is getting to a place we can’t overlook. This is a dude who was $8,000 when at full health and his role makes him hard to fade at such a discounted price. We’re talking about a guy who’s leading the team with a 29.8 percent usage rate while taking at least 14 shots in three-straight games. He’s done that despite playing 25 minutes or fewer in all of them and reports indicate that he should get up to 28 minutes here. If we get 14-plus shots and a 30 percent usage rate in 28 minutes of play, Oladipo should destroy this price tag with his ability.

With all that said, these two shooting guards are questionable. If they sit, we love James Harden with Russell Westbrook resting. If you’re looking for someone cheaper, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a nice option against the Pistons and Bruce Brown is in play opposing SGA.

 

2/7 NBA DFS Small Forwards

Tim Hardaway Jr, DAL at WSH

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,900)

Someone needs to take some shots with Luka Doncic sidelined and what better guy to do that than THJ? Not only has Hardaway scored at least 25 DraftKings points in four of his last five games without Doncic, he also has seen a huge increase in usage. In fact, Hardaway has a 25 percent usage rate with him off the floor while taking at least 13 shots in all of those games. The best part about using him is this matchup though, with the Wizards allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing small forwards.

Derrick Jones Jr, MIA at SAC

DK ($4,800) FD ($5,200)

Miami has a ton of moving parts right now and Jones could be in for a monster night if some of their trade pieces aren’t quite ready to suit up. In Wednesday’s loss to the Clippers, Jones played 31 minutes and dropped 48 fantasy points. That actually followed up a game where he played 37 minutes and it could be even higher if Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Meyers Leonard sit too. The icing on the cake is the matchup though, with the Kings sitting 18th in defensive efficiency.

 

2/7 NBA DFS Power Forwards

Kristaps Porzingis, DAL at WSH

DK ($8,800) FD ($9,600)

This makes for the third-straight article for KP and we’re just going to keep riding him until Doncic returns. Amazingly, Porzingis has at least 45 DraftKings points in all eight games that Luka has missed this season. That’s really no surprise when you see that he has a usage rate north of 30 percent with him off the floor while sky-rocketing his shot attempts and rebounding. That huge increase pairs wonderfully with this matchup, with the Wizards ranked dead-last in points allowed and defensive efficiency.

Serge Ibaka, TOR at IND

DK ($6,300) FD ($6,200)

Ibaka has been amazing whenever Marc Gasol has sat this season and that makes him a huge value here below $7,000. If you look at the 16 games that Gasol has missed, Ibaka is averaging nearly 35 fantasy points per game in those fixtures. That has certainly been the case recently, with Serge scoring at least 30 DK points in six-straight headed into this matchup while averaging 36.1 fantasy points per game in that span. What’s more, is the fact that he’s averaging 41.5 DraftKings points per game in his two meetings with the Pacers, which is no surprise when you see that they allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing centers.

 

2/7 NBA DFS Centers

Deandre Ayton, PHX vs. HOU

DK ($8,600) FD ($8,800)

With Houston shipping Clint Capela off to Atlanta, this is a great time to exploit this undersized frontline. What’s funny is that we expect P.J. Tucker to cover Ayton in this game and that’s obviously a huge mismatch. What makes that even harder to fathom is the fact that Ayton is averaging 42.4 DK points per game across his last 18 outings and 52 fantasy points per game over his last three fixtures. We also love that Houston plays at the second-fastest pace in the league while sitting 22nd in total defense, making Ayton one of the best plays out there.

Enes Kanter, BOS vs. ATL

DK ($4,400) FD ($4,700)

With all of the aforementioned injuries in Boston, Kanter becomes a solid play. The biggest thing when it comes to Kanters are the minutes and receiving 26 on Wednesday would be a godsend at this price. We’re talking about a player who’s averaging 27.7 DK points per game across 20.8 minutes over his last 22 games played and a 25 percent boost in playing time could equate to 30-40 fantasy points. What adds to his intrigue is the matchup though, with Atlanta sitting 28th in defensive efficiency, 29th in points allowed and 30th in OPRK against opposing centers.


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