NBA DFS Plays for Friday, 12/6: The Butler Did It
Wednesday’s article was one of my best of the season, getting great performances from players like Spencer Dinwiddie, Hassan Whiteside, De’Anthony Melton, Evan Fournier and Tomas Satoransky. Most importantly, we didn’t have a single dud and that’s what I value more than anything. We’re going to keep that momentum rolling here, so let’s get into our 12/6 NBA DFS picks!
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12/6 NBA DFS Point Guards
Terry Rozier, CHA vs. BRK
DK ($7,100) FD ($7,500)
Rozier got off to a rough start with his new team but he’s really hit his stride recently. In fact, the Hornets point guard has at least 24 DK points in 12 of his last 13 games while averaging 34.7 DK points over his last seven outings. That’s why he’s seen a price increase but the reason we love him today is because of this matchup. Rozier gets to face a Brooklyn team who’s surrendering the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing PGs while sitting 20th in total defense.
Tomas Satoransky, CHI vs. GS
DK ($6,000) FD ($6,500)
Satoransky was actually in our article on Wednesday and we’re going to go right back to the well here. While his price has gone up about $500 on each site, he’s still outperforming that price tag by a significant margin. Over his last six games, Sato is averaging 13.2 points, 4.3 rebounds, 6.8 assists and 1.7 steals en route to 32 DraftKings points per game. Those stat-stuffing ways are even more intriguing against Golden State, with the Warriors ranked 27th in defensive efficiency.
12/6 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
Spencer Dinwiddie, BRK at CHA
DK ($8,200) FD ($8,500)
I’m not sure that a Nets game has passed without us recommending Dinwiddie over the last two weeks and by looking at his recent statistics, it appears we’re doing something right. Since taking over starting duties for Kyrie Irving, Dinwiddie has scored at least 35 DK points in all 10 games while averaging 43 fantasy points per game in that span. That’s really no surprise when you see that he has a usage rate approaching 40 percent with Irving and Caris LeVert both off the floor. Getting to face Charlotte is simply a bonus, with the Hornets sitting 26th in defensive efficiency.
Jimmy Butler, MIA vs. WSH
DK ($8,100) FD ($9,100)
Using players against Washington this season has been a profitable endeavor and we absolutely love a hot player against them. Jimmy Buckets is just that, with the Heat guard scoring at least 34 DK points in 16 of 17 games this season en route to a 43-point average. He’s been even more ridiculous recently, averaging 29.5 points, 9.5 rebounds, 8.0 assists and 1.5 steals over his last two games. That form looks even better when you see that Washington ranks dead-last in total defense while surrendering the most fantasy points in the league to opposing shooting guards.
12/6 NBA DFS Small Forwards
DeMar DeRozan, SAN vs. SAC
DK ($7,400) FD ($8,300)
While the Spurs have been struggling, DeRozan is doing all he can to keep their heads above water. Since opening night, DeRozan actually has at least 30 fantasy points in all 21 games played while averaging 38 DK points per game in that span. A good amount of that damage has come recently, with DD posting a 40-point average over his last 12 fixtures. That’s all we can ask for from a player in this price range, particularly against a Kings team who owns a 23rd OPRK against small forwards this season.
Davis Bertans, WSH at MIA
DK ($5,700) FD ($6,000)
All of the injuries in Washington have really opener up things for Bertans, with the Dutchman in the best stretch of his career. Over his last three games. Bertans is averaging 22 points, 3.3 rebounds, 1.3 steals and 1.0 blocks per game. Most importantly, he’s played at least 37 minutes in back-to-back games while attempting an average of 11.3 three-pointers a game in that three-game span. That means Bertans should be $1,000 more and we’re going to keep riding him until he starts getting priced appropriately.
12/6 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Bam Adebayo, MIA vs. WSH
DK ($7,500) FD ($7,800)
There’s a lot of candidates for Most Improved Player and Adebayo is surely somewhere near the top of the list. Not only has he scored at least 24 DK points in 20 of 21 games played this season, but he’s also averaging 37.1 DraftKings points per game. The stat-stuffing ways have given him an incredible floor and we project him to score about 40-50 fantasy points against the worst defense in basketball. In fact, Washington allows the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing PFs while allowing over 120 points per game.
Aaron Gordon, ORL at CLE
DK ($6,900) FD ($7,000)
Gordon has been a pretty big disappointment over recent years but he finally appears to be living up to expectations. The thing that’s really expanded his game is the absence of Nikola Vucevic, as he’s been a different player since then. Outside of a blowout loss against Toronto, Gordon is averaging 34 DK points per game over his last seven fixtures. That’s the guy we’ve been waiting for and it directly correlates with Vucevic’s injury. Getting to face Cleveland should continue the recent spurt, with the Cavs ranked 25th in defensive efficiency.
12/6 NBA DFS Centers
Nikola Jokic, DEN at BOS
DK ($8,000) FD ($8,500)
Jokic has had a down year by his standards but his price is getting to an extremely tempting number. We’re talking about a guy who averaged about 50 DK points per game last season and is still north of 40 fantasy points per game this year. That’s still solid value in this price range and we actually like the matchup against a Boston team with no scary defenders in their frontcourt. That was clear in their last meeting, with Jokic collecting 18 points, 16 rebounds, 10 assists and three steals en route to 64 DraftKings points.
Jakob Poeltl, SAN vs. SAC
DK ($5,800) FD ($5,100)
Poeltl was in all of my lineups on Tuesday and it’s easy to understand why when you look at the game he had. The San Antonio center played a career-high 41 minutes, providing 43.3 DK points. That extends a stretch in which he’s averaging 27 DraftKings points over his last 11 games. We like him if LaMarcus Aldridge returns but he’s impossible to fade if LA sits out yet again. The matchup against Sacramento is tasty too, facing a Kings team who sits 19th in defensive efficiency.
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