Chris Allen43 posts

Chris Allens breaks down the keys to a winning draft strategy in 2019.

Mock drafts translate our thoughts into player values and better shape our draft strategy. League-mate tendencies can slightly change things for our actual drafts, but the core concept remains the same; Leverage draft position to acquire players based on individual rankings. Analysts from Fantrax and 4for4 recently got together for a Mock Rookie Draft. Mock participants and the draft order are shown below.Fantrax 2019 Mock Rookie Draft Drafts, even mock drafts, can be entertaining. They’re my personal favorite…

Our focus in best-ball now turns toward the NFL draft. The free agency fireworks are out. Veteran contracts have been mostly negotiated with some exceptions. With no other news, the youngsters take center stage. They bring the entirety of the dynasty community along with them in the process. Film grinders and analytic geeks alike have filled Twitter with fact and trait-based analysis on the incoming class. Talent can be identified in the early stages of the process, but fantasy football production relies on talent,…

Chris Allen looks at roster construction for best-ball leagues and how you should approach the tight end position.“Dumpster fire.”“Wasteland.”“Just stream them.”The above are common descriptors or phrases used when dealing with both tight ends and team defenses in best-ball. Still a part of the ‘onesie’ position category, but the supply of replaceable talent is remarkably small. It forces drafters to consider two paths to building a roster:1 – Spend significant draft capital to acquire the elite…

Player value and draft cost in best-ball leagues is like a snow globe. A microcosm unto itself. NFL free agency is the kid waiting to shake the globe. Players retire, traded, or are cut. Each transaction causes a shift in our perception. An offensive guard retires, how does that affect the team’s running back? A wide receiver is cut, who picks up the vacated targets? One change begets another with varying ramifications.Let’s look at some of the bigger moves and how the market has responded.Can’t wait for next…

The ‘onesie’ positions are a class unto themselves in best-ball drafts. Positional scarcity coupled with requiring just a single weekly starter (hence the ‘onesie’ moniker and h/t to JJ Zachariason for the term) limits how many and how quickly we draft them. Quarterbacks are the most complicated of the three. It’s the primary source of production for pass-catching positions and helps move running backs into scoring position. Their fantasy point totals outmatch most players at any other position. For example, in just 13…

Wide receivers will always be a strategic conundrum for best-ball leagues. Toss out draft price and think of the receiver archetypes. Alpha receivers, possession receivers, red zone threats, speed threats. There’s a blend of these receivers you’d want to build out your roster. Think of how you’d build your DFS lineup on any given Sunday. A strong WR1 for targets and touchdowns, one possession receiver for more targets, and a deep threat with touchdown upside. That formula holds true in best-ball. But how many should we…

Best-ball is more than just filling 20 draft slots. How many players at each position and how soon they’re drafted changes the complexion of your final roster. It can also affect your chances of winning. Part I in the series highlighted roster construction. Specific builds were shown to have an edge on the field by their greater win rates. The most interesting aspect of the builds was the investment in the running back position.RB Obs Wins Win Rate5 532 43 8.08%6 660 59 8.94%7 170 15…

The NFL season might be over, but the information cycle never ends. Even better, neither does the drama. We’re less than a month into the offseason with some critical moves affecting the 2019 fantasy landscape and best-ball season as well:Joe Flacco traded to the Denver Broncos Kareem Hunt signed by the Cleveland Browns Antonio Brown demands a trade from Pittsburgh SteelersThese moves only involve veterans. We haven’t even gotten to the D.K. Metcalf picture doing his best Thanos impersonation. Apparently,…

Week 14 was an abject disaster. If you were relying on some of the studs that got you to the playoffs, you were sweating all weekend. Hopefully, you survived to fight another week in the quarterfinals of the playoffs. But, Week 15 hasn't started off any better. Patrick Mahomes had a lackluster night. Tyreek Hill and Keenan Allen were lineup killers. If you started any of them this week, your lineup could use some punch. To help, the Fantrax crew has looked into some high variance plays in the Week 15 fantasy football…