FantraxHQ

The Home of Fantasy Sports Analysis

MENUMENU
  • MLB
        • Baseball Home
          • FantraxHQ 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit [Updated!]
          • Fantasy Baseball Rankings
          • Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Busts
          • Prospect Rankings
          • Top 500 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings
          • Analysis
        • Research
          • ADP
          • Prospects
        • Podcasts
          • Five Tool Podcast
          • Triple Play Fantasy
          • Fantasy Prospect Toolshed
          • SP Streamer Podcast
        • Games
          • MLB Commissioner League
          • MLB Cash League
        • 2021 FantraxHQ Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit
  • NFL
        • Research
          • All Things Fantasy Football
          • Dynasty Football
          • ADP
        • Rankings
          • Dynasty Football Rankings
          • Superflex Dynasty Rankings
        • Podcasts
          • The Individual Defensive Podcast
        • Games
          • NFL Commissioner League
        • Nick Foles NFL Free Agency
          CHICAGO, IL - JANUARY 06: Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Nick Foles (9) passes the ball as Chicago Bears linebacker Khalil Mack (52) pressures in the 4th quarter during an NFL NFC Wild Card football game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Chicago Bears on January 06, 2019, at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL. (Photo by Daniel Bartel/Icon Sportswire)
  • NBA
        • Research
          • Fantasy Basketball Waiver Wire
        • Games
          • Fantasy Basketball Commissioner
        • 2019-20 Fantasy Basketball Draft Kit
          Fantrax has your back whether you're looking for rankings in your favorite format or on the lookout for the sleeper everybody else missed. Our 2019-20 Fantasy Basketball Draft Kit is a slam dunk!
  • NHL
  • EPL
        • Weekly Content
          • EPL Waiver Wire
          • EPL Player Rankings
          • EPL Start and Sit
          • EPL Sleepers XI
          • EPL Weekly Rankings
          • EPL Community Special
        • Special Features
          • EPL Draft Strategy
          • Fantasy EPL 101 – How to Play Draft Premier League
          • EPL Draft Rankings
          • EPL Draft Guides
          • EPL New Signings
          • EPL Team Previews
          • ADP
          • 2020 Fantrax HQ Fantasy EPL Draft Kit
        • Podcast
          • The Kick Around
        • Games
          • Play Fantasy EPL
        • 2020 Fantasy EPL Draft Kit

          2020 Fantasy EPL Draft Kit
  • NCAAF
        • Games
          • NCAAF Commissioner League
        • Podcasts
          • CFF On Campus
        • College Fantasy Football
          BRONX, NY - DECEMBER 27: Wisconsin Badgers running back Jonathan Taylor (23) runs during the fourth quarter of the 2018 New Era Pinstripe Bowl between the Wisconsin Badgers and the Miami Hurricanes on December 27, 2018 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, NY. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)
  • MY LEAGUES
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

2018 Player Profile: Alex Bregman

December 19, 2017 by Fantrax Staff Leave a Comment

FantraxHQ is the official content sponsor of Fantrax.com, the hottest Fantasy Site of 2018 and 2019.
Alex Bregman

Alex Bregman: Alexander the Great

Houston’s slick-fielding third baseman has been hitting bombs long before he was able to partake in postgame celebration beers. Bregman, who is entering his age-24 season, has already built up quite the name for himself. He was practically the playoff poster boy for the Houston Astros and their incredible World Series run. For the 19 million viewers across the country and the 43,000 there in attendance, very few will forget Bregman’s Game 5 walk-off hit against the Dodgers’ Kenley Jansen in the bottom of the 10th inning.

Bregman shot through Houston’s minor league system after being drafted second overall in the 2015 Draft. His bat was already very advanced coming out of Louisiana State, and it showed in his first year of minor league ball. In his second year, Bregman took the gloves off and fought his way all the way onto the major league club by slashing .306/.406/.580 in 80 games between Double- and Triple-A. Ah, yes, the coveted .300/.400/.500 triple slash line. And in this case, Bregman showed an extra bit of pop by posting nearly a .600 slugging percentage. Clearly, Bregman was ready for a big-league promotion, and the Astros were not going to hold him back any longer.

Bregman made his major league debut on July 25, 2016, exactly 13 months after being drafted. Since then, Bregman has logged more major league innings than minor league ones. With over 200 major league games under his belt, including 155 games in 2017, Bregman has performed better than his career stats suggest. Bregman is a career .279 hitter with a .818 OPS, which is strong, but hardly a standout at a position as stacked as third base. Bregman threatened 20/20 last year, and while the power-speed combo has been good, it hasn’t yet been good enough to net him a top-10 finish at the third base position.

This year, with the World Series fresh in everyone’s minds, Bregman’s stock has soared all the way to a top-40 pick. According to Fantrax’s early ADP, he is the 36th pick off the board on average and the sixth overall third baseman. A third or fourth round pick would be a steep price to pay in most leagues, especially considering Bregman finished outside the top-75 in ESPN’s standard game last year. Many owners will be wondering if he’s worth the price tag in 2018.

Digging into the data, Bregman has an intriguing profile and one that is surprisingly safe for a young kid entering his second full season. Bregman is very patient in his approach but doesn’t walk a ton. This is reflected in his 26% OSwing%, which ranks 37th-best among qualified hitters. O-Swing measures how often a hitter extends outside of the strike zone on pitches they see. Although Bregman walked less than 10% of the time in 2017, it doesn’t appear that he was overly aggressive or that he doesn’t have an advanced understanding of the zone. Bregman’s elite contact rate (86%), patient swing percentage (45%), and excellent strikeout rate (16%) make him an extremely tough out. This type of patience produces opportunities for Bregman to punish certain pitches and be aggressive in favorable counts. That calculated aggression contributed to a solid .475 slugging percentage last year.

By itself, Bregman’s power numbers are not incredible, but when you look at his skills as a whole, he really starts to shine. When Bregman puts the ball in play, he generates a decent exit velocity (87.5 MPH AEV) and really focuses on putting the ball in the air, as his 38.4% groundball rate ranked 24th-lowest in the American League last year. He also crushes left-handed pitching. His batting average and OPS against southpaws in 2017 were both top-20 in baseball.

Altogether, Bregman’s profile may not seem all that enticing because he has yet to flash elite-level skills for an entire season. However, a case for progress can be painted pretty easily. Bregman has a high-level prospect pedigree. He is just 23 years old and dominated in the second half last year, batting .315 while maintaining a 25-home run/20-steal pace and sporting a .903 OPS. Looking ahead, I expect a healthy batting average somewhere in the .270 to .280 range. I also expect him to take another step forward with his power production, with 22-28 home runs being well within reach. When you consider Bregman’s high floor and how secure his supporting bat skills are, up may be the only direction he can go in 2018.

For more on Bregman, check out The Baseball Show’s 2018 video profile below:

Alex Bregman, 3B Astros [Video]

Previous 2018 Player Profiles

Chris Taylor

Tommy Pham

Carlos Carrasco

Rhys Hoskins

Jackie Bradley, Jr. 

Josh Harrison

Wilmer Flores

Christian Yelich

Jake Lamb

Scooter Gennett

Marwin Gonzalez

Ozzie Albies

 

Filed Under: Fantasy, Fantasy Baseball, Player Profiles Tagged With: Alex Bregman, astros, Fantasy Baseball, featured, Houston Astros, MLB

Reader Interactions

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Primary Sidebar

Trade Away Your League for Fantrax
Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings

Dynasty Fantasy Baseball

Top-500 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings: February 2021

PODCASTS

Triple Play Fantasy Baseball EP. 65: An Interview with Former All-Star Shortstop, Jack Wilson

Five Tool Podcast |EP 48 | 2021 Redraft Rookie Mock Draft

Triple Play Fantasy Football 2021 Bounce Back Candidates with Bob Harris of Football Diehards!

Kick Around | EP 93 | Gameweek 26 Preview

Fantasy Hockey Life | EP. 99 | Pens, Flyers, Caps and Rangers with Rachel Nones

MLB Player Analysis

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit

2021 State of the Bullpen: National League Closer Preview

February 26, 2021 By Jorge Montanez Leave a Comment

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit

Brady House: 2021 MLB Draft Scouting Report

February 26, 2021 By Chris Clegg Leave a Comment

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit

Third Base Tiers – Bouncebacks, Young Stars, and Ones to Love

February 25, 2021 By Corbin Young Leave a Comment

Latest Fantasy Football

dynasty fantasy football

Joe Mixon: 2021 Offseason Dynasty Buy or Sell?

dynasty fantasy football

NFL Free Agency Analysis: Dynasty Buys at Tight End

dynasty fantasy football

NFL Free Agency Analysis: Dynasty Buys at Wide Receiver

Prospects/Dynasty

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit

Brady House: 2021 MLB Draft Scouting Report

February 26, 2021 By Chris Clegg

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit

Chicago Cubs Top Prospects for Fantasy Baseball

February 25, 2021 By Chris Clegg

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit

Top Pitching Prospects for 2021 Fantasy Baseball Redraft Leagues

February 24, 2021 By Eric Cross

Fantasy Basketball Analysis

Fantasy Basketball

Fantasy Basketball Stock Report: All-Star Edition

February 26, 2021 By Kevin Arnold

Fantasy Basketball

Top 100 NBA Fantasy Basketball Dynasty Rankings

February 26, 2021 By Jackson Paine

Fantasy Basketball

Fantasy Basketball Streamers: Weekend of Feb 26-28

February 26, 2021 By Michael Tomlinson

Footer

Follow @Fantrax
Fantrax The Home of Fantasy Sports

AUTHORS
CONTACT US
WRITE FOR US
PRIVACY POLICY

© 2021 Fantrax All Rights Reserved.